Science Research Management ›› 2014, Vol. 35 ›› Issue (9): 50-57.

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Research on influencing factors evaluation of energy supply in China

Meng Fansheng, Li Meiying   

  1. School of Economics and Management, Harbin Engineering University, Harbin 150001, Heilongjiang, China
  • Received:2012-11-26 Revised:2014-01-14 Online:2014-09-25 Published:2014-10-22

Abstract: The research perspective of energy consumption pays more attention to short-term management, research results are often difficult to solve the basic problem of energy management, and the view of energy supply is more beneficial to provide reference for the long-term management of energy. The paper selects energy resource endowment, economic growth level, industrial structure and technical progress as the main influencing factors of energy supply in China, calculates the weight of each index based on Improved Entropy Method, constructs the index system of influence factors of energy supply in China, makes synthetic analysis and evaluation on the related data of each index from 1991 to 2011 in China based on Catastrophe Theory and OLS. The evaluation results show that the four influencing factors have significant promotion on energy supply in China, among them, energy resource endowment has the most effect on energy supply, the influence degrees of other three are economic growth level, industrial structure and technical progress in turn. The empirical evaluation results provide guidance and reference for further analyzing and refining the influence factors of energy supply in China.

Key words: energy supply, catastrophe theory, improved entropy method, regression equation, influencing factors

CLC Number: