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The impact of supply chain digitalization on corporate credit risk: A perspective on supply chain agility
Han Minchun, Rao Yulei
Science Research Management ›› 2026, Vol. 47 ›› Issue (7) : 161-169.
PDF(1135 KB)
PDF(1135 KB)
The impact of supply chain digitalization on corporate credit risk: A perspective on supply chain agility
The uncertainty of commercial credit risk is a key factor restricting the development of supply chain finance regulation. Based on the perspective of supply chain agility, this paper took the 2018 Supply Chain Innovation and Application Pilot as a quasi-natural experiment of supply chain digitization, and studied the impact of supply chain digitization on commercial credit risk and its functioning mechanism based on the data of listed companies in the period from 2014 to 2022. It is found that supply chain digitization significantly suppresses supply chain commercial credit risk, which is manifested in the reduction of the use of high-risk commercial credit modes such as accounts receivable and accounts payable in commercial credit. The mechanism test showed that supply chain digitization affects supply-demand matching, operational efficiency, and trust network by improving customer agility, operational agility, and cooperation agility, and ultimately acts on commercial credit risk. In addition, supply chain digitalization has a more significant mitigating effect on commercial credit risk of non-state-owned enterprises, enterprises with low industry concentration and enterprises in low trust regions. The findings of this paper will provide empirical evidence for supply chain digitization to achieve safe development and its economic impact on supply chain finance, which is of great practical significance for promoting the integration of industry-technology-finance and preventing and mitigating major financial risks under the new development pattern.
supply chain digitization / commercial credit risk / supply chain agility
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The financial distress of small and medium-sized enterprises(SMEs)will bring a series of negative effects to themselves, from its startup to its decline. Multiple theories and much empirical evidence have been proposed to interpret this phenomenon. At the same time, the distress events can lead to negative wealth and profitability outcomes for supply chain members in the short time and long time. In fact, the financial distress of SMEs has become a major concern in disruptions to normal activities, but only a few contributions in the literature have focused on the transmission effect of SMEs’ financial distress on the credit risk of suppliers. Credit risk refers to the risk caused by the borrower's possible default and failure to repay the loan and interest. The credit risk may propagate further, sometimes even with amplifications, leading to a negative performance outcomes for the members, reducing the overall operational efficiency and competitiveness of the supply chain. To this end, a transmission model is constructed to analyze the impact of SMEs’ financial distress on the credit risk of suppliers. During modeling, classical Jarrow–Turnbull model is used as reference to denote the intensity of default risk and the probability of default risk . Furthermore, the above mechanism is tested by the sample of Small and Medium-sized Board from 2010 to 2018. The results are as follows based on the theoretical model and empirical research: Firstly, there is a positive relationship between the financial distress of SMEs and the credit risk of suppliers. Secondly, the suppliers’ own factors have a greater impact on their credit risk than that of SMEs’ financial distress. Additionally, this process has a time effect of two years, and suppliers of high scale, high-customer-concentration and state-owned nature are more resistant to credit risk. On the contrast, manufacturing, primary and secondary industry suppliers have weaker risk resilience. The findings of this paper, on the one hand, provide reference for the credit risk prevention and management of SMEs and the supply chain system. On the other hand, promoting the stability and competitiveness of supply chain node-enterprises. |
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Under the background of China’s increased focus on the stability and security of its industrial and supply chains, as well as the growing challenges faced by Chinese enterprises in a dynamic market environment, there is a pressing need to systematically evaluate the impact of smart supply chain construction on supply chain resilience optimization and enterprise performance improvement. Employing the panel data of Shanghai and Shenzhen A-share listed companies over 2013-2020, the implementation of supply chain innovation and application policies is approached as a quasi-natural experiment in this study. To estimate the impact of constructing a smart supply chain on enterprise performance, a robust DDD model is utilized.The empirical analysis results demonstrate that the construction of a smart supply chain has significant influences on enterprise performance. Firstly, it significantly enhances enterprise performance, thereby indicating that the intelligent transformation and upgrading of the supply chain can assist enterprises in achieving sustainable performance improvement. Secondly, supply chain resilience optimization serves as a key mechanism through which a smart supply chain enhances enterprise performance. This mechanism facilitates the development of dynamic capabilities, enabling professional division of labor, control of transaction costs, internal and external financing, and innovation synergy. Thirdly, the policy effect exhibits significant heterogeneity. The construction of smart supply chains has a greater impact on the performance improvement of growing period enterprises, non-state-owned enterprises, labor-intensive enterprises, and technology-intensive enterprises. Moreover, the policy effect is more favorable in situations where there is a lower degree of market segmentation for goods and labor, and when the enterprises are located in the eastern region. The findings of this study have important policy implications for expediting the intelligent transformation and upgrading of supply chains, ensuring the continuous enhancement of supply chain resilience, and accelerating the high-quality development of enterprises. |
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