科研管理

科研管理 ›› 2025, Vol. 46 ›› Issue (8): 90-100.DOI: 10.19571/j.cnki.1000-2995.2025.08.009

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

数字经济对技术市场交易活跃度的非线性影响

王勉青1,何华2,刘云3,方曦4,尤宇3   

  1. 1.上海大学法学院，上海200444；
    2.上海大学管理学院，上海200444；
    3.中国科学院大学公共政策与管理学院，北京100190；
    4.上海应用技术大学经济与管理学院，上海201418

  • 收稿日期:2023-12-15 修回日期:2024-12-24 出版日期:2025-08-20 发布日期:2025-08-14
  • 通讯作者: 何华
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金（国际）合作研究与交流项目：“新兴产业全球创新网络形成机制、演进特征及对创新绩效的影响研究”（71810107004）；科技部创新方法工作专项：“科技成果信息知识图谱和创新服务研究与应用示范”（2019IM040300）。

Nonlinear impact of digital economy on transaction activities of the technology market

Wang Mianqing1, He Hua2, Liu Yun3, Fang Xi4, You Yu3   

  1. 1. School of Law, Shanghai University, Shanghai 200444, China; 
    2.  School of Management, Shanghai University, Shanghai 200444, China; 
    3. School of Public Policy and Management, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China; 
    4. School of Economics and Management, Shanghai Institute of Technology, Shanghai 201418, China
  • Received:2023-12-15 Revised:2024-12-24 Online:2025-08-20 Published:2025-08-14

摘要：    大力发展技术市场是完善我国社会主义市场经济体制的重要内容，数字经济加快了信息要素的流动，对技术市场交易具有重要的影响。本文基于2011—2021年中国省级层面的面板数据，采用双向固定效应模型检验了数字经济对我国技术市场交易活跃度的非线性影响及其作用机制。结果表明，数字经济与技术市场交易活跃度之间存在显著的“U”型关系，且该结论在通过一系列稳健性检验后依然成立。进一步分析，发现数字经济与技术市场交易活跃度之间的非线性关系在东部地区、技术服务和技术开发等方面更为明显，数字经济政策的大力实施强化了这一关系。同时，机制检验表明，创新产出在数字经济与技术市场交易活跃度之间发挥了部分中介作用，而知识产权保护则正向调节了数字经济与技术交易活跃度之间的关系。本文研究结论丰富并拓展了数字经济与技术市场交易活跃度之间的非线性逻辑探索，为政府深化数字经济融合发展，构建良性的技术市场环境等决策提供参考。

关键词: 数字经济, 技术市场交易活跃度, 知识产权保护, 创新产出, 非线性型关系

Abstract: Developing vigorously the technology market is an important part of improving China′s socialist economic system. The digital economy has accelerated the flow of information elements and has an important impact on the transaction activities of the technology market. Based on the panel data at the provincial level in China from 2011 to 2021, this paper employed a two-way fixed-effects model to examine the nonlinear impact of digital economy on the activity of China′s technology market transactions and its operational mechanisms. The results indicated a significant "U-shaped" relationship between digital economy and the activity of technology market transactions, and this conclusion still holds after a series of robustness tests. Further analyses revealed that the nonlinear relationship between digital economy and the activity of technology market transactions is more pronounced in the eastern region, technology services, and technology development, with the vigorous implementation of digital economy policies strengthening this relationship. Additionally, mechanism tests showed that innovation output plays a partial mediating role between digital economy and technology market transactions, while intellectual property protection has a significant positive moderating effect on the relationship between digital economy and the activity of technology transactions. The findings of this paper will enrich and expand the nonlinear logic exploration between digital economy and technology market transactions, thus providing a reference for the government to deepen the development of the digital economy and establish a favorable technology market environment in strategizing. 

Key words: digital economy, technology market transaction activity, intellectual property protection, innovation output, nonlinear relationship