Option-game analysis for the entrance time of R&D projects investment under technologic uncertainty


Xia Yiqun, Chen Junfang

Science Research Management ›› 2009, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (2) : 126-130.

PDF(934 KB)
PDF(934 KB)
Science Research Management ›› 2009, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (2) : 126-130.

Option-game analysis for the entrance time of R&D projects investment under technologic uncertainty

  • Xia Yiqun, Chen Junfang
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Abstract

To be preemptive or waiting? The analysis on the entrance time of R&D project investment using option-game theory shows that the monopoly considers only the value of deferred investment. But there are two types of equilibriums for the duopoly, namely, the cooperative investment equilibrium which is invested later than that for the monopoly when the value of cooperation is always larger than that of preemption investment; and the leader-follower equilibrium when the two types of investment values have an intersection. Moreover, the critical point of investment is advanced because of the competition.

Key words

R&D project / entrance time / option-game / equilibrium

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Xia Yiqun, Chen Junfang.
Option-game analysis for the entrance time of R&D projects investment under technologic uncertainty[J]. Science Research Management. 2009, 30(2): 126-130
PDF(934 KB)

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