科研管理

科研管理 ›› 2026, Vol. 47 ›› Issue (1): 143-151.DOI: 10.19571/j.cnki.1000-2995.2026.01.014

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

抑制型产业政策的绿色技术创新效应——基于“去产能”政策的准自然实验

金通1，孟秀兰2   

  1. 1.浙江财经大学中国政府监管研究院，浙江 杭州310018；
    2.浙江财经大学经济学院，浙江 杭州310018
  • 收稿日期:2024-03-20 修回日期:2024-12-03 接受日期:2024-12-03 出版日期:2026-01-20 发布日期:2026-01-12
  • 通讯作者: 孟秀兰
  • 基金资助:
    浙江省社科规划全国影响力建设智库专项课题：“面向新质生产力发展的政府监管改革研究”（ZKZD2024006）; 浙江省高校重大人文社科攻关计划规划重点项目：“新质生产力的形成机理与公共政策研究”（2024GH041）。

The green technological innovation effect of suppressive industrial policy: A quasi-natural experiment based on the "de-capacity" policy

Jin Tong1， Meng Xiulan2

  1. 1.China Institute of Regulation Research, Zhejiang University of Finance & Economics, Hangzhou 310018, Zhejiang, China; 
    2. School of Economics, Zhejiang University of Finance & Economics, Hangzhou 310018, Zhejiang, China

  • Received:2024-03-20 Revised:2024-12-03 Accepted:2024-12-03 Online:2026-01-20 Published:2026-01-12

摘要：    绿色技术创新是推动产业结构升级和实现高质量发展的关键。本文以“去产能”政策实践为基础，从抑制型产业政策有效性出发，选取2009年至2018年间制造业上市公司为研究样本，利用双重差分（DID）模型探究其对绿色技术创新的影响效应、作用机制和影响的异质性。研究发现：“去产能”政策通过直接和间接效应显著促进了企业绿色技术创新，经过多项稳健性检验后发现“去产能”政策对绿色技术创新质量的影响更加稳健；异质性分析显示，“去产能”政策正向促进国有企业和政策干预较强地区企业的绿色技术创新质量，但对非国有企业存在微弱的负向影响；机制分析发现，“去产能”政策通过优化创新资源配置和提高创新补偿间接促进企业绿色技术创新。本研究深入探讨了抑制型产业政策的绿色技术创新效应，为推动“去产能”政策的差异化实施，践行绿色创新驱动发展战略提供了重要启示。

关键词: 抑制型产业政策, “去产能”政策, 绿色技术创新, 创新补偿, 创新资源配置

Abstract: Green technological innovation is the key to promoting industrial structure upgrading and achieving high-quality development. Based on the practice of the "de-capacity" policy, this paper selected the manufacturing-listed companies from 2009 to 2018 as the research sample, and used the Difference-in-Difference (DID) model to explore the impact, mechanisms and heterogeneity of the policy on green technological innovation. The study found that the "de-capacity" policy significantly promotes firm′s green technological innovation through direct and indirect effects. After several robustness tests, it was confirmed that the impact of the "de-capacity" policy on the quality of green technological innovation is more robust. The heterogeneity analysis showed that the "de-capacity" policy positively promotes green technological innovation quality in state-owned firms and firms located in regions with strong policy intervention, but has a slight negative impact on non-state-owned firms. The mechanism analysis revealed that the "de-capacity" policy indirectly promotes firms′ green technological innovation by optimizing the allocation of innovation resources and enhancing innovation compensation. This study has provided an in-depth exploration of the effects of suppressive industrial policies on green technological innovation, thus offering valuable insights for the differentiated implementation of the "de-capacity" policy and the practice of green innovation-driven development strategies.

Key words: suppressive industrial policy, "de-capacity" policy, green technology innovation, innovation compensation, innovation resource allocation