Science Research Management

Science Research Management ›› 2018, Vol. 39 ›› Issue (9): 151-158.

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A study of the driving factors and their mechanism of patent surge

Tan Long1,3, Liu Yun2, Chen Fengyun1, Yan Zhe3   

  1. 1. Science and Technology Information Center, China Academy of Engineering Physics, Mianyang 621900, Sichuan, China;
    2. School of Public Policy and Management, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China;
    3. School of Management and Economics, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing 100081, China
  • Received:2015-08-09 Revised:2017-08-24 Online:2018-09-20 Published:2018-11-06

Abstract: A 3-dimensional model, namely the Elements-Competence-Propensity Model, abbreviated as ECP model, is proposed which features in inclusiveness and systematicness in explaining patent surge issues. Any driving factor will exert an influence on patent growth via, at least, one of the 3 dimensions. Based on the ECP model, the driving paths and mechanisms of various factors on patent growth are revealed by means of the System Mechanics Method. An important implication of this paper is that, a good or health policy should start from improvement of elements input or/and innovation competence, rather than enhancement of patent propensity unilaterally.

Key words:  patent surge, driving factors, ECP model, influencing mechanism