Agricultural total factor productivity growth and its spatial-temporal differences in China

Abstract

Abstract: Using provincial panel data from 1978 to 2011 and the Global Malmquist Index, this paper makes empirical studies on the growth and changes of total factor productivity and its components of farm crops sector in China. The main results are: (1) the agricultural total factor productivity has been increased significantly and technical progress is the main contributor and efficiency shows a tendency of regression. (2) great differences of productivity growth exist regionally and provincially. The eastern region and most eastern provinces have the fastest growth speed, while the central region and most central and western provinces have the lowest growth speed. The main implications are: (1) theoretically, more insights of the TFP can be reached with the advancements of DEA estimation techniques; and (2) practically, the issue of low-level state of agricultural technical efficiency muse be dealt with so as to more effectively facilitate the growth of agricultural TFP.

Key words: farm crops sector, total factor productivity, global Malmquist index, empirical study

CLC Number:

F326.11

Du Jiang. Agricultural total factor productivity growth and its spatial-temporal differences in China[J]. Science Research Management, 2015, 36(5): 87-98.

References

[1] Kalirajan, K. P., M. B. Obwona and S. Zhao. A decomposition of total factor productivity growth: The case of Chinese agricultural growth before and after reforms [J]. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 1996, 78 (2): 331-338. [2] Wen, G. Total factor productivity change in China's farming sector: 1952-1989 [J]. Economic Development and Cultural Change, 1993, 42 (1): 1-41. [3] Lin, J. Y. Rural reforms and agricultural growth in China [J]. American Economic Review, 1992, 82 (1): 34-51. [4] Lambert, D. K. and E. Parker. Productivity in Chinese provincial agriculture [J]. Journal of Agricultural Economics, 1998, 49 (3): 378-392. [5] Xu, Y. Agricultural productivity in China [J]. China Economic Review, 1999, 10 (2): 108-121. [6] Fan, S., L. Zhang and X. Zhang. Reforms, investment, and poverty in rural China [J]. Economic Development and Cultural Change, 2004, 52 (2): 395-421. [7] 朱希刚.我国"九五"时期农业科技进步贡献率的测算[J].农业经济问题,2002(5):12-13. Zhu Xigang, Estimation of agricultural contribution rate of science and technology progress in China during the "9^th Five-Year" Plan [J]. Issues in Agricultural Economy, 2002 (5): 12-13]. [8] 朱希刚.农业技术进步及其"七五"期间内贡献份额的测算分析[J].农业技术经济,1994(2):2-10. Zhu Xigang, Agricultural technical progress and the estimation of its contribution during the "7^th Five-Year" Plan [J]. Journal of Agrotechnical Economics, 1994 (2): 2-10]. [9] 李林杰,王红涛.加快农业科技进步推进现代农业发展——基于我国"十五"时期农业科技进步贡献率的实证分析[J].农业现代化研究,2008(2):163-167. Li Linjie, Wang Hongtao, Accelerating agricultural technology improvement, promoting development of modern agriculture — Demonstration analysis based on contribution rate of agricultural technology improvement during period of the "10^th Five-Year" Plan [J]. Research of Agricultural Modernization, 2008 (2): 163-167. [10] 徐会奇,王克稳,李辉.基于省际面板数据的中国农业技术进步贡献率的测算分解[J].经济科学,2011(1):25-37. Xu Huiqi, Wang Kewen, Li Hui, Estimation and decomposition of the contribution rate of agricultural technical progress in China based on the provincial panel data [J]. Economic Science, 2011 (1): 25-37. [11] 郑京海,胡鞍钢,Arne Bigsten.中国的经济增长能否持续?——一个生产率视角[J].经济学(季刊),2008,7(3):777-807. Zheng Jinghai, Hu Angang, Arne Bigsten, Can China's growth be sustained? A productivity perspective [J]. China Economic Quarterly, 2008, 7 (3): 777-807. [12] 黄金波,周先波.中国粮食生产的技术效率与全要素生产率增长:1978-2008[J].南方经济,2010(9):40-52. Huang Jinbo, Zhou Xianbo, Technical efficiency and growth of total factor productivity of food production in China: 1978-2008 [J]. South China Journal of Economics, 2010 (9): 40-52. [13] 陈静,李谷成,冯中朝等.油料作物主产区全要素生产率与技术效率的随机前沿生产函数分析[J].农业技术经济,2013(7):85-93. Chen Jing, Li Gucheng, Feng Zhongchao, The stochastic frontier production function analysis of total factor productivity and technical efficiency in the main producing areas of oil plants [J]. Journal of Agrotechnical Economics, 2013 (7): 85-93. [14] 田伟,谭朵朵.中国棉花TFP增长率的波动与地区差异分析——基于随机前沿分析方法[J].农业技术经济,2011(5):110-118. Tian Wei, Tan Duoduo, Fluctuation and regional differences of the growth rate of total factor productivity of cotton in China [J]. Journal of Agrotechnical Economics, 2011 (5): 110-118. [15] 司伟,王济民.中国大豆生产全要素生产率及其变化[J].中国农村经济,2011(10):16-25. Si Wei, Wang Jiming, Total factor productivity and its changes of soybean production in China [J]. Chinese Rural Economy, 2011 (10): 110-118. [16] 顾海,孟令杰.中国农业TFP的增长及其构成[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2002(10):15-18. Gu Hai, Meng Lingjie, The growth and composition of China's agricultural total factor productivity [J]. The Journal of Quantitative & Technical Economics, 2002 (10): 15-18. [17] 陈卫平.中国农业生产率增长、技术进步与效率变化:1990~2003年[J].中国农村观察,2006(1):18-23. Cheng Weiping, Productivity growth, technical progress and efficiency change in Chinese Agriculture: 1990-2003 [J]. China Rural Survey, 2006 (1): 18-23. [18] 方福前,张艳丽.中国农业全要素生产率的变化及其影响因素分析——基于1991-2008年Malmquist指数方法[J].经济理论与经济管理,2010(9):5-12. Fang Fuqian, Zhang Yanli, Analysis of changes of China's agricultural total factor productivity and its impact factors: From the 1991-2008 annual Malmquist index approach [J]. Economic Theory and Business Management, 2010 (9): 5-12. [19] 王珏,宋文飞,韩先锋.中国地区农业全要素生产率及其影响因素的空间计量分析——基于 1992-2007 年省域空间面板数据[J].中国农村经济,2010(8):24-35. Wang Yu, Song Wenfei, Han Xianfeng, Spatial econometric analysis of regional agricultural total factor productivity and its influencing factors in China [J]. Chinese Rural Economy, 2010 (8): 24-35. [20] 王兵,杨华,朱宁.中国各省份农业效率和全要素生产率增长——基于 SBM 方向性距离函数的实证分析[J].南方经济,2011(10):12-26. Wang Bing, Yang Hua, Zhu Ning, Provincial agricultural efficiency and total factor productivity growth in China: Empirical study based SBM directional distance function [J]. South China Journal of Economics, 2011 (10): 12-26. [21] 全炯振.中国农业全要素生产率增长的实证分析:1978-2007年——基于随机前沿分析(SFA)方法[J].中国农村经济,2009(9):36-47. Quan Jongzhen, Empirical study of China's agricultural total factor productivity growth: 1978-2007-based on the stochastic frontier analysis (SFA) [J]. The Journal of Quantitative & Technical Economics, 2009 (9): 36-47. [22] 李谷成,范丽霞,成刚等.农业全要素生产率增长:基于一种新的窗式DEA生产率指数的再估计[J].农业技术经济,2013(5):4-17. Li Gucheng, Fan Lixia, Cheng Gang, Agricultural total factor productivity growth: Re-estimation with the new window DEA productivity index [J]. Journal of Agrotechnical Economics, 2013 (5): 4-17. [23] 闵锐.粮食全要素生产率:基于序列DEA与湖北主产区县域面板数据的实证分析[J].农业技术经济,2012(1):47-55. Ming Rui, Total factor productivity of grain: Empirical study with sequential DEA and panel data of Hubei province [J]. Journal of Agrotechnical Economics, 2012 (1): 47-55. [24] 张冬平,冯继红.我国小麦生产效率的DEA分析[J].农业技术经济,2005(3):48-54. Zhang Dongping, Feng Jihong, The DEA analysis of wheat production efficiency in China [J]. Journal of Agrotechnical Economics, 2005 (3): 48-54. [25] 王明利,吕新业.我国水稻生产率增长、技术进步与效率变化[J].农业技术经济,2006(6):24-29. Wang Mingli, Lv Xinye, The productivity growth, technical progress and efficiency change of paddy production in China [J]. Journal of Agrotechnical Economics, 2006 (6): 24-29. [26] 杨春,陆文聪.中国玉米生产率增长、技术进步与效率变化:1990-2004年[J].农业技术经济,2007(4):34-40. Yang Chun, Lu Wencong, The productivity growth, technical progress and efficiency change of corn production in China: 1990-2004 [J]. Journal of Agrotechnical Economics, 2007 (4):34-40. [27] 李静,孟令杰.中国农业生产率的变动与分解分析:1978-2004年——基于非参数的HMB生产率指数的实证研究[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2006(5):11-19. Li Jing, Meng Lingjie, The empirical study on the growth and decomposition of China's agricultural productivity from 1978 to 2004: Evidence from nonparameter HMB productivity index [J]. The Journal of Quantitative & Technical Economics, 2006 (5): 11-19. [28] 赵文,程杰.中国农业全要素生产率的重新考察——对基础数据的修正和两种方法的比较[J].中国农村经济,2011(10):4-15. Zhao Wen, Cheng Jie, Restudy of China's agricultural total factor productivity: Correction of the data and comparison of two methods [J]. China Rural Economy, 2011 (10): 4-15. [29] 郭萍,余康,黄玉.中国农业全要素生产率地区差异的变动与分解——基于Färe-Primont生产率指数的研究[J].经济地理,2013,33(2):141-145. Guo Ping, Yu Kang, Huang Yu, Changes and decomposition of agricultural TFP regional disparities in China: Study of Färe-Primont TFP index [J]. Economic Geography, 2013, 33 (2):141-145. [30] Pastor, J. T. and C. A. K. Lovell. A Global Malmquist Productivity Index [J]. Economics Letters, 2005, 88 (2): 266-271. [31] Färe, R., S. Grosskopf and M. Norris et al. Productivity growth, technical progress, and efficiency change in industrialized countries [J]. American Economic Review, 1994, 84 (1): 66-83. [32] Caves,D. W.,L.R.Christensen and W.E.Diewert. Multilateral comparisons of output, input, and productivity using superlative index numbers [J]. Economic Journal, 1982, 92 (365): 73-86. [33] Shestalova, V. Sequential malmquist indices of productivity growth: An application to OECD industrial activities [J]. Journal of Productivity Analysis, 2003, 19 (2-3): 211-226. [34] 曾先峰,李国平.我国各地区的农业生产率与收敛:1980-2005[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2008(5):81-92. Zeng Xianfeng, Li Guoping, Estimate the agricultural production efficiency and analysis it's convergence: 1980-2005 [J]. The Journal of Quantitative & Technical Economics, 2008 (5): 81-92. [35] 周端明.技术进步、技术效率与中国农业生产率增长——基于DEA的实证分析[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2009(12):70-81. Zhou Duanming, Technical progress, technical efficiency and productivity growth of China's agriculture [J]. The Journal of Quantitative & Technical Economics, 2009 (12): 70-81. [36] 潘丹,应瑞瑶.中国农业全要素生产率增长的时空变异:基于文献的再研究[J].经济地理,2012,32(7):113-117. Pan Dan, Ying Ruiyao, Spatial-temporal differences of agricultural total factor productivity: Restudy of previous literatures [J]. Economic Geography, 2012, 32 (7): 117-117. [37] 刘燕妮,任保平,高鹏.中国农业发展方式的评价[J].经济理论与经济管理,2012(3):100-107. Liu Yanni, Ren Baoping, Gao Peng, Evaluation of agricultural development in China [J]. Economic Theory and Business Management, 2012 (3): 100-107. [38] 白林,万忠,罗其友等.中国农业全要素生产率构成及区域趋同性分析——基于1996-2010年Malmquist指数法[J].农业现代化研究,2012,33(5):552-555. Bai Lin, Wan Zhong, Luo Qiyou, Analysis of changes of Chinese agricultural total factor productivity and its convergence: From the 1996-2010 annual Malmquist index approach [J]. Research of Agricultural Modernization, 2012, 33 (5): 552-555.