数字创新生态系统构成因素对高端装备制造智能化发展的影响分析

李梅芳, 刘雨菁

科研管理 ›› 2025, Vol. 46 ›› Issue (3) : 28-37.

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科研管理 ›› 2025, Vol. 46 ›› Issue (3) : 28-37. DOI: 10.19571/j.cnki.1000-2995.2025.03.003  CSTR: 32148.14.kygl.2025.03.003

数字创新生态系统构成因素对高端装备制造智能化发展的影响分析

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An analysis of the impact of the constituent factors of the digital innovation ecosystem on the intelligent development of high-end equipment manufacturing

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文章历史 +

摘要

随着新一轮科技革命的发展,数字创新生态系统的应用为高端装备制造业向智能化发展提供了机遇。本研究创新性地运用深度神经网络构建长短期记忆(LSTM)模型,通过建模与预测分析,识别评估了影响高端装备制造业智能化发展的数字创新生态系统关键因素。研究发现:数字创新生态系统对高端装备制造业的智能化发展具有显著的正向推动作用。其中,智能化设施建设、偿债能力、成长能力、科研人才比重、创新产出、创新效益、创新投入以及有效发明专利占比这8个因素对智能化发展的贡献高于其他因素,且各因素的影响程度存在显著差异。本研究揭示并详尽分析了各关键因素的作用并通过对其相对贡献度的综合评估,挖掘其对企业智能化发展水平的实际影响。本文为构建客观的数字创新生态系统逻辑框架和评价体系奠定了重要的理论依据,同时为高端装备制造企业制定智能化发展策略提供了现实参考。

Abstract

With the advancement of the new round of technological revolution, application of the digital innovation ecosystem offers opportunities for the intelligent development of the high-end equipment manufacturing industry. This study innovatively employed deep neural networks to construct a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model, and identified key factors of the digital innovation ecosystem influencing the intelligent development of high-end equipment manufacturing through modeling and predictive analysis. The findings revealed that the digital innovation ecosystem significantly promotes the intelligent development of the high-end equipment manufacturing industry. Within this ecosystem, eight factors—intelligent facility construction, solvency, growth capability, proportion of R&D personnel, innovation output, innovation benefits, innovation investment, and the proportion of effective invention patents—demonstrate a significantly higher contribution to intelligent development compared to other factors, with distinct variations in their impact levels. The study revealed and thoroughly analyzed the roles of key factors in the digital innovation ecosystem, and through a comprehensive assessment of their relative contributions, uncovered their actual impact on the enterprise's level of intelligent development. This paper has provided important theoretical supports for constructing an objective, logical framework and evaluation system for the digital innovation ecosystem, and it will offer practical references for high-end equipment manufacturing enterprises to formulate intelligent development strategies.

关键词

数字创新生态系统 / 构成因素 / 高端装备制造企业 / 智能化发展 / LSTM模型

Key words

digital innovation ecosystem / constituent factor / high-end equipment manufacturing enterprise / intelligent development / Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model

引用本文

导出引用
李梅芳, 刘雨菁. 数字创新生态系统构成因素对高端装备制造智能化发展的影响分析[J]. 科研管理. 2025, 46(3): 28-37 https://doi.org/10.19571/j.cnki.1000-2995.2025.03.003
Li Meifang, Liu Yujing. An analysis of the impact of the constituent factors of the digital innovation ecosystem on the intelligent development of high-end equipment manufacturing[J]. Science Research Management. 2025, 46(3): 28-37 https://doi.org/10.19571/j.cnki.1000-2995.2025.03.003
中图分类号: F270.7   

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摘要
工业革命4.0开启了智能化生产时代,如何持续推进智能化大发展成为经济高质量发展的重要命题。利用熵权法测算了2009-2019年我国制造业智能化指数,运用固定效应模型、门槛效应模型、系统GMM以及滞后一期工具变量法考察创新能力与劳动力成本对制造业智能化水平的影响及机制。研究结果表明,创新能力、劳动力成本对制造业智能化转型均有促进作用。创新能力与中、高技能劳动力成本的交互显著提升了制造业智能化水平,其中与高技能劳动力成本交互的正向作用具有时滞性。进一步的区域异质性检验表明,东部地区中高技能劳动力成本提高会增强创新的制造业智能化转型效应,低技能劳动力成本的增强效应不显著;中部地区低、中、高三种技能劳动力成本提高均会有上述增强效应;西部地区不同技能劳动力成本的上述增强效应均不显著;以上意味着东部地区的传导机制更多是智能技术研发,中部地区的传导机制是技术研发与技术应用兼有,西部地区的传导机制均尚未激活。
WANG Lixin, MENG Caixia. Innovation capacity, labor cost and intelligent transformation of regional manufacturing industry[J]. Studies in Science of Science, 2023, 41(8):1376-1388+1453.
This paper uses the entropy weight method to measure the intelligence index of China’s manufacturing industry from 2009 to 2019, and uses the fixed effect model, the threshold effect model, the system GMM and instrumental variable method to examine the impact mechanism of innovation capacity and labor costs on the level of manufacturing intelligentization. The results show that innovation capacity and labor cost both promote the intelligent transformation of manufacturing industry. The interaction between innovation capacity and the cost of medium and high-skilled labor has a significant positive effect on the improvement of the level of manufacturing intelligence, and the positive effect of the interaction with the cost of high-skilled labor has a time lag. Furthermore, regional heterogeneity shows that the increase in the cost of medium and high-skilled labor in the eastern region will enhance the intelligent transformation effect of innovation in manufacturing, while the enhancement effect of the cost of low-skilled labor is not significant. the increase in labor costs of low-, medium-, and high-skilled labor in the central region will have the above-mentioned enhancement effect, and in the western region are both not significant. The transmission mechanism in the eastern region is more intelligent technology research and development, and the transmission mechanism in the central region is both technology research and development as well as technology application, while the conduction mechanisms in the western region has not yet activated.
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摘要
建设创新生态系统并发挥共生效应是推动地区科技创新发展的首选战略。结合2007-2015年中国30个省市相关数据,利用共生测度模型计算我国区域创新生态系统共生度,并进一步建立静态和动态面板数据模型,实证分析区域创新生态系统共生与科技创新绩效间的关系。研究结果表明:我国区域创新生态系统共生度整体呈“U”型发展特征,东部地区远高于中西部地区,地区间差异较大且下降幅度尚显微弱;短期内创新生态系统共生对科技创新的促进作用相对较弱,共生单元的作用效果并不显著,而长期内创新生态系统共生的正向驱动效应明显放大,且共生单元呈负向抑制作用;地区科技创新的累积效应明显,共生基质、共生平台和共生环境始终对科技创新具有正向驱动作用,而共生网络的正向驱动效应均不明显。
LI Xiaodi, ZHANG Xiaoyan. Research on the influence of regional innovation ecosystem symbiosis on regional sci-tech innovation[J]. Studies in Science of Science, 2019, 37(5):909-918+939.
Building the innovation ecosystem and playing a symbiotic role is the preferred strategy for promoting the development of regional sci-tech innovation. Combined with relevant data from 30 provinces in China from 2007 to 2015, the symbiosis level of China's regional innovation ecosystem using the symbiotic measurement model is measured, and the relationship between regional innovation ecosystem symbiosis and sci-tech innovation is empirically analyzed by establishing the static and dynamic panel data model. The results show that: the symbiosis degree of regional innovation ecosystem is generally characterized by "U", the eastern region is much higher than the central and western regions, the regional differences are large and the decline is still weak. In the short term, innovation ecosystem symbiosis has a relatively weak role in promoting sci-tech innovation, and the effect of symbiosis unit is not significant, in the long term, the positive driving effect of innovation ecosystem symbiosis is obviously amplified, and the symbiosis unit has a negative inhibitory effect on sci-tech innovation. The accumulative effects of sci-tech innovation are obvious, the symbiosis matrix, symbiosis platform, and symbiosis environment always have positive driving effects on sci-tech innovation, and the positive driving effects of symbiosis network is not obvious.
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ZHOU Changbao, FENG Zhihong, LIN Runhui, et al. From product orientation to ecosystem orientation: Construction of innovation ecosystem of high-tech enterprises: A longitudinal case study based on Dajiang[J]. Management Review, 2023, 35(3):337-352.
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摘要
近年来,微创新是创新研究领域的热点,如何驱动企业微创新是相关研究亟需回答的问题。整合创新生态系统3个层面六大要素,运用模糊集定性比较分析(fsQCA)方法,以18个微创新案例为样本,探讨创新生态系统驱动企业微创新的复杂因果机制。结果发现:第一,单个创新生态系统要素并不构成企业高微创新的必要条件。第二,存在3条高微创新驱动路径,即机会识别主导下的用户驱动型、机会识别主导下的环境与用户参与驱动型,以及机会识别主导下的环境、组织学习与领先用户驱动型。此外,非高微创新驱动路径仅有一条,且与高微创新驱动路径存在非对称关系。第三,机会识别能力作为核心条件出现在高微创新的3个组态及非高微创新一个组态中,说明机会识别能力对企业微创新具有重要作用。
QU Fei, ZHANG Huiying. How does innovation ecosystem drive enterprise micro-innovation? A fuzzy set qualitative comparative analysis based on configuration perspective[J]. Science & Technology Progress and Policy, 2022, 39(15):58-66.
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张玉臣, 朱铭祺, 廖凯诚. 粤港澳大湾区创新生态系统内部耦合时空演化及空间收敛分析[J]. 科技进步与对策, 2021, 38(24):38-47.
ZHANG Yuchen, ZHU Mingqi, LIAO kaicheng. Space-time transition and convergence trend research on internal coupling coordination of innovation ecosystem in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area[J]. Science & Technology Progress and Policy, 2021, 38(24):38-47.
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张爱琴, 薛碧薇, 张海超. 中国省域创新生态系统耦合协调及空间分布分析[J]. 经济问题, 2021(6):98-105.
ZHANG Aiqin, XUE Biwei, ZHANG Haichao. Analysis on coupling coordination and spatial distribution of China's provincial innovation ecosystem[J]. On Economic Problems, 2021(6):98-105.
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解学梅, 刘晓杰. 区域创新生态系统生态位适宜度评价与预测:基于2009-2018中国30个省市数据实证研究[J]. 科学学研究, 2021, 39(9):1706-1719.
摘要
本研究基于生态位理论构建了区域创新生态系统生态位适宜度评价指标体系和评价模型,并对中国30个省市2009-2018共十年的区域创新生态系统进行评价。研究结果表明:⑴ 中国整体的创新生态位适宜度较低,但进化空间较大,发展趋势较好;⑵ 中国的创新引领地区和创新领先地区共涵盖20%的省市,其余为创新落后地区,创新生态系统发展呈现区域不均衡;⑶ 在区域分布方面,创新生态位适宜度呈现从东部到西部递减趋势。此外,采用GM(1,1)模型预测系统对2020-2024五年的生态位适宜度进行预测,研究结果表明:⑴ 2020-2024年,中国整体的创新生态位适宜度将有所提升;⑵ 在权重方面,2020-2024年,生境生态位将继续占据区域创新生态系统最重要的位置。
XIE Xuemei, LIU Xiaojie. Niche-fitness evaluation and prediction of regional innovation ecosystem: An empirical study based on the data of Chinese 30 provinces from 2009 to 2018[J]. Studies in Science of Science, 2021, 39(9):1706-1719.
本研究基于生态位理论构建了区域创新生态系统生态位适宜度评价指标体系和评价模型,并对中国30个省市2009-2018共十年的区域创新生态系统进行评价。研究结果表明:⑴ 中国整体的创新生态位适宜度较低,但进化空间较大,发展趋势较好;⑵ 中国的创新引领地区和创新领先地区共涵盖20%的省市,其余为创新落后地区,创新生态系统发展呈现区域不均衡;⑶ 在区域分布方面,创新生态位适宜度呈现从东部到西部递减趋势。此外,采用GM(1,1)模型预测系统对2020-2024五年的生态位适宜度进行预测,研究结果表明:⑴ 2020-2024年,中国整体的创新生态位适宜度将有所提升;⑵ 在权重方面,2020-2024年,生境生态位将继续占据区域创新生态系统最重要的位置。
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基金

福建省创新战略研究项目:“产学研深度融合下企业关键核心技术突破研究”(2022R0125,2022—2024)

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