科研管理 ›› 2026, Vol. 47 ›› Issue (1): 121-131.DOI: 10.19571/j.cnki.1000-2995.2026.01.012

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

数字经济对城市包容性绿色增长的影响研究

马玉林, 马运鹏   

  1. 山东财经大学统计与数学学院,山东 济南250014
  • 收稿日期:2024-03-02 修回日期:2024-12-30 接受日期:2025-01-01 出版日期:2026-01-20 发布日期:2026-01-12
  • 通讯作者: 马运鹏

Research on the effects of digital economy on the inclusive green growth of cities

Ma Yulin,Ma Yunpeng

  1. School of Statistics and Mathematics, Shandong University of Finance and Economics, Jinan 250014, Shandong, China
  • Received:2024-03-02 Revised:2024-12-30 Accepted:2025-01-01 Online:2026-01-20 Published:2026-01-12

摘要:    激发数字经济新动能,培育智能制造融合创新生态,是加快构建区域协调发展新格局的必由之路。本文基于2011—2020年277个城市的面板数据,使用双向固定效应模型、调节效应模型及空间杜宾模型,研究了数字经济对城市包容性绿色增长的影响及其空间效应。研究发现,数字经济发展对城市包容性绿色增长具有显著的正向影响,主要表现在促进经济增长和改善区域协调发展方面。机制分析显示,财政科技支出与产业结构升级对数字经济与城市包容性绿色增长的关系具有显著正向调节效应。进一步研究表明,数字经济发展不仅有助于提升焦点城市包容性绿色增长,而且可以通过空间溢出效应促进邻近城市包容性绿色增长。同时,异质性分析表明,数字经济对城市包容性绿色增长的影响在不同分位数水平下具有显著差异。随着城市包容性绿色增长水平提升,数字经济对城市包容性绿色增长的促进作用逐步增强。本文揭示了数字经济驱动城市包容性绿色增长的理论机理,并为推动中国区域高质量发展提供科学依据。

关键词: 数字经济, 区域协调, 包容性绿色增长, 空间溢出效应

Abstract:     Stimulating the new momentum of digital economy and cultivating the integrated innovation ecosystem of intelligent manufacturing are essential to accelerating the construction of a new pattern of coordinated regional development. Based on the panel data of 277 cities from 2011 to 2020, this paper employed the two-way fixed effects model, the moderation effects model and the spatial Durbin model to investigate the impacts of digital economy on the inclusive green growth of cities and its accompanying spatial effects. The results indicated that the development of digital economy exerts a significant positive influence on the inclusive green growth of cities, primarily manifested in the promotion of economic growth and the improvement of regional coordinated development. The mechanism analysis revealed that fiscal and technological expenditures, as well as industrial structure upgrading, have a significant positive moderating effect on the relationship between digital economy and the inclusive green growth of cities. Further research suggested that the development of the digital economy not only enhances the inclusive green growth of the focal cities, but also fosters the inclusive green growth of neighbouring cities through spatial spillover effects. Simultaneously, the heterogeneity analysis demonstrated that the impact of digital economy on the inclusive green growth of cities exhibits significant differences across various quantile levels. As the level of inclusive green growth in cities increases, the promoting effect of digital economy becomes more pronounced. This study has unveiled the theoretical mechanism underlying the digital economy′s role in driving the inclusive green growth of cities, and will provide scientific evidence to support the promotion of high-quality regional development in China.

Key words: digital economy, regional coordination, inclusive green growth, spatial spillover effect