科研管理

科研管理 ›› 2013, Vol. 34 ›› Issue (11): 36-41.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

中间品与资本品进口影响出口升级效应研究：理论假说与检验

李强1,2   

  1. 1. 安徽科技学院财经学院, 安徽 蚌埠 233100;
    2. 南京大学经济学院, 江苏 南京 210093
  • 收稿日期:2011-11-01 修回日期:2012-10-18 出版日期:2013-11-13 发布日期:2013-11-13
  • 基金资助:
    国家社科基金重大招标项目 (10ZD&020,2010-2013):基于自主创新能力增进的产学研合作创新研究;国家社科基金重点项目(11AZD002,2011-2013):以全球价值链引导我国经济结构转型升级。

Research on the effects of intermediate goods and capital goods importson China’s export structure upgrading—A Theoretical Hypothesis and Test

Li Qiang1,2   

  1. 1. School of Finance and Economics, Anhui Science and Technology University, Bengbu 233100, China;
    2. Economic College of Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093, China
  • Received:2011-11-01 Revised:2012-10-18 Online:2013-11-13 Published:2013-11-13

摘要： 国内外经济环境的变化使得我国出口大幅放缓,长期的低端制造业出口更加重了出口的压力,出口升级就显得迫在眉睫,本文试图从进口结构的角度分析中间品和资本品进口对我国出口升级的影响。通过建立理论模型提出有关中间品和资本品进口对我国出口升级影响的理论假说,并利用1995-2010年的进出口数据对提出的理论假说进行了实证检验,实证结果显示资本品和中间品的进口对我国出口升级有显著的正效应。

关键词: 中间品, 资本品, 出口升级, 理论假说

Abstract: Changes in domestic and international economic environment have slowed down China's exports sharply and the long-term low-end manufacturing exports have increased the export pressure, so the export upgrading becomes imminent. This paper attempts to analyze the intermediate goods and capital goods imports on China's exports upgrading from the perspective of the structure of imports. Through the establishment of theoretical models, it also proposes a theoretical hypothesis that the intermediate goods and capital goods imports have an impact on China's exports, and makes an empirical test to the hypothesis proposed by use of the import and export data for 1995-2010. The empirical results show that the imports of the capital goods and intermediate goods have a significant positive effect on the upgrading of China's exports.

Key words: intermediate goods, capital goods, export upgrading, theoretical hypothesis

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