农产品质量安全的相关技术创新扩散是确保产品安全的关键,政府的管理与引导在此类技术扩散过程中发挥着至关重要的作用,本文基于5省12县373名农产品质量安全政府管理人员的调查,利用有序Probit模型,在实证分析农产品质量安全技术扩散过程中政府管制关键阶段的基础上,进一步研究了主要的管理因素对扩散关键阶段的影响,力求破解技术扩散过程中的政府管制活动这一传统理论分析的"黑箱"区域。结果表明,政府管制因素在农产品质量安全技术扩散的多个阶段产生显著影响,其中,在技术扩散初期的突破和跟从阶段影响最为明显; 影响管理者参与态度的多个变量对管制效果影响大;从政府参与技术扩散的具体管理手段来看,生产示范手段作用最为显著;就技术扩散管制的外部环境控制来看,区域特征明显,而舆论宣传并未发挥明显的促进作用;作为政府管制的框架性管理行为,制度的完善性和技术体系的适应性发挥显著作用。
Abstract
Based on the investigation on 373 governors in the department of agricultural products quality safety with five provinces and 12 counties, an empirical analysis on the impact of government control factors on technology diffusion result in the process of agricultural products quality safety technology diffusion is conducted by using ordered Probit model. The black box region involving government control activity in the process of technology diffusion is attempted to clarify. Result shows that government control factors exert the remarkable influence on agricultural products quality safety technology diffusion in the several stages of its development. The factors exert the most prominent impact in the breakthrough and following stages and a comparatively weaker impact in the later period. The variables involving manager attitude and participation exert a prominent impact on control effect. From the aspect of the specific management instrument, production demonstration exerts a prominent impact on the key process of technology diffusion. The regional characters play an important role from the aspect of the external environment. As the framework management behavior of government control, the perfection of management system and the adaptability of technology system exert a prominent affect.
关键词
农产品质量安全 /
技术扩散 /
政府管理 /
关键阶段
Key words
agricultural product quality safety /
technology diffusion /
government management /
key process
{{custom_sec.title}}
{{custom_sec.title}}
{{custom_sec.content}}
参考文献
[1] Mansfield E. Technology Change and the Rate of Imitation[J].Econometrics,1961,29(4): 741-766.
[2] Rogers EM. Diffusion of Innovation[M],New York: The Free Press,1983.
[3] Beal, G. M.,Rogers, E. M. The Adoption of Two Farm Practices in a Central Iowa Community.Iowa Agricultural and Home Economics Experiment Station at Ames,1960.
[4] Feder.G.R, Zilberman. Farm Size and the Adoption of Green Revolution Technologies[J]. Economic Development and Cultural Change,1981,30(1):59-76.
[5] Kenneth J. Arrow. The Economic Implications of Learning by Doing[J].The Review of Economic Studies,1962,29(3):155-173.
[6] Raske, N. Factors Limiting Change on Traditional Small Farms in South Brazil [C].Traditional Dynamics in Small Farm Agriculture,Iowa: Iowa State University Press, 1977:92-114.
[7] Weber,Hoogma. Experimenting with Sustainable Transport Innovations: a Workbook for Strategic Niche Management [M].CEC Joint Research Centre in Seville,1999.
[8] Jonathan B. Wiener. The Regulation of Technology and the Technology of Regulation [J].Technology in Society, 2004.26(5):483-500.
[9] Petros Ieromonachou, Stephen Potter,Marcus Enoch. Adapting Strategic Niche Management for Evaluating Radical Transport Policies: the Case of the Durham Road Access Charging Scheme [J]. International Journal of Transport Management,2004.2(2):75-87.
[10] Adam B. Jaffe,Richard G. Newel,Robert N. Stavins.A Tale of Two Market Failures: Technology and Environmental Policy[J].Ecological Economics, 2005,54(2):164-174.
[11] Theocharis D. Tsoutsos,Yeoryios A. Stamboulis.The sustainable diffusion of renewable energy technologies as an example of an innovation-focused policy[J],Technovation, 2005,25(7):753-761.
[12] Giuliana Battisti.Innovations and the Economics of New Technology Spreading within and Across Users: Gaps and Way Forward[J].Journal of Cleaner Production,2008,16(1):22-31.
[13] 刘笑明.农业技术创新扩散的影响因素及其改进[J].中国科技论坛,2007(5):50-53.
[14] 黄季焜.让科学技术进入农村的千家万户—建立新的农业技术推广创新体系[J].农业经济问题,2000(4):17-24.
[15] 秦文利,王慧军.农民素质对农业技术扩散的影响[J].河北农业科学,2004(1):54-57.
[16] 常向阳,戴国海.技术创新扩散的机制及其本质探讨[J].技术经济与管理研究,2003(5):101-102.
[17] 徐金海.政府监管与食品质量安全[J].农业经济问题,2007(11):85-90.
[18] 李中东,支军.农产品质量安全的技术控制研究[J].管理世界,2008(2):180-181.
[19] 李中东.基于农产品质量安全的技术扩散博弈分析[J].技术经济,2009(8):60-66.
基金
国家自然科学基金"基于技术扩散的农产品质量安全控制"(70873075)起止时间:2009-2011,"基于成本视角的食品安全规制效果评价及其优化研究"(71173136)起止时间:2012-2015;教育部人文社会科学研究青年项目"基于PSR框架的我国农村公用事业产品供给绩效评价及优化对策研究"(11YJC630182)起止时间:2011.9-2014.9;山东省自然科学基金项目"基于可持续发展的山东农村公用事业产品供给绩效评价及优化对策研究"(ZR2011GL015)起止时间:2011.12-2014.12。