国家创新型城市试点对制造业升级的影响

袁正; 张冰; 赵增明

doi:10.19571/j.cnki.1000-2995.2025.12.008

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科研管理 ›› 2025, Vol. 46 ›› Issue (12) : 78-89. DOI: 10.19571/j.cnki.1000-2995.2025.12.008 CSTR: 32148.14.kygl.2025.12.008

国家创新型城市试点对制造业升级的影响

袁正 ¹ ,
张冰 ² ,
赵增明 ³

作者信息 +

Impact of the national innovation city pilot policies on upgrading of the manufacturing industry

Author information +

文章历史 +

摘要

制造业转型升级是我国高质量发展的必然要求。基于2007—2015年全国税收抽样调查数据，匹配国家创新型城市试点政策，使用多期堆叠双重差分模型，研究发现：国家创新型城市试点政策显著促进了试点城市的制造业升级，且存在空间溢出效应。PSM-DID估计、平行趋势检验、安慰剂检验、排除其他政策影响后，结论依然稳健。这一试点政策主要通过产出调整和产业进入退出来促进制造业升级。该政策显著增进高技术制造业的集聚水平、研发强度和资本深化，显著提高高技术企业的劳动、资本要素投入、研发支出及经营绩效。该政策效应受到市场化程度、政府效率的正向调节，受到市场分割程度的负向调节。本研究丰富了制造业升级驱动因素及国家创新型城市试点政策经济效应的相关文献，对制定和优化城市创新政策、促进制造业转型升级具有重要的启示意义。

Abstract

The transformation and upgrading of the manufacturing industry are inevitable requirements for China's high-quality development. Based on the national tax sampling survey data from 2007 to 2015，and matched with the national innovation city pilot policy，we found that the national innovation city pilot policy significantly promoted the upgrading of the manufacturing industry in the pilot cities，and there were spatial spillover effects. After estimating PSM-DID，parallel trend test，placebo test，and excluding other policy influences，the conclusion remained robust. The pilot policy promotes manufacturing upgrading through output adjustment and industry entry and exit，enhances significantly the agglomeration level，R&D intensity，and capital deepening of high-tech manufacturing industries，and improves profoundly the labor，capital input，R&D expenditure，and performance of high-tech enterprises. The policy effect is positively regulated by the degree of marketization and government efficiency，and negatively regulated by the degree of market segmentation. This study has enriched the relevant literature on the driving factors of manufacturing upgrading and the economic effects of national innovative city pilot policies，which has important implications for optimizing urban innovation policies and promoting the transformation and upgrading of the manufacturing industry.

导出引用

袁正, 张冰, 赵增明. 国家创新型城市试点对制造业升级的影响[J]. 科研管理. 2025, 46(12): 78-89 https://doi.org/10.19571/j.cnki.1000-2995.2025.12.008

Yuan Zheng, Zhang Bing, Zhao Zengming. Impact of the national innovation city pilot policies on upgrading of the manufacturing industry[J]. Science Research Management. 2025, 46(12): 78-89 https://doi.org/10.19571/j.cnki.1000-2995.2025.12.008

中图分类号： F403.2；F421.2

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