科研管理 ›› 2025, Vol. 46 ›› Issue (10): 115-124.DOI: 10.19571/j.cnki.1000-2995.2025.10.012

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

经济政策不确定性对企业创新的影响研究——兼论数字化转型的调节效应

熊正德1,2,朱佳磊1,姚柱1,2   

  1. 1.湖南大学工商管理学院,湖南 长沙410082;
    2.湖南大学战略性新兴产业发展研究中心,湖南 长沙410082
  • 收稿日期:2024-08-14 修回日期:2025-03-11 接受日期:2025-03-11 出版日期:2025-10-20 发布日期:2025-10-14
  • 通讯作者: 朱佳磊
  • 基金资助:
    国家社会科学基金重点项目:“新质生产力赋能绿色低碳转型的理论与实践创新研究”(24AKS020,2024.10—2028.12);国家自然科学基金青年项目:“创新使命对数字产品创新的驱动机制研究:意义建构视角”(72302084,2024.01—2026.12);湖南省社会科学成果评审委员会重大课题:“产业链重构背景下湖南文旅深度融合发展研究”(XSP21ZDA010,2021.01—2024.12);湖南省自然科学基金青年项目:“企业创新使命的嵌入过程与效应研究”(2024JJ6164,2024.01—2026.12)。

Research on the impact of economic policy uncertainty on corporate innovation: A concurrent discussion of the moderating effect of digital transformation

Xiong Zhengde1,2, Zhu Jialei1, Yao Zhu1,2   

  1. 1. School of Business Administration, Hunan University, Changsha 410082, Hunan, China;
    2. Strategic Emerging Industries Development Research Center, Hunan University, Changsha 410082, Hunan, China
  • Received:2024-08-14 Revised:2025-03-11 Accepted:2025-03-11 Online:2025-10-20 Published:2025-10-14

摘要:    如何在复杂多变的环境下,推动数字经济与实体经济深度融合,提升企业技术创新能力,无疑是当下社会各界关注的焦点。基于A股上市公司数据,本文探讨了经济政策不确定性究竟怎样影响企业创新以及数字化在其中的作用。研究发现,经济政策不确定性与企业创新之间表现出显著的U型关系;经济政策不确定性的升高促进了企业策略性创新的上升,但导致企业实质性创新下降。将数字化纳入分析框架后发现,企业数字化转型加剧了经济政策不确定性对企业创新的负面冲击,二者的U型关系减弱且拐点发生右移,接近于L型。进一步分析发现,数字化转型的负面效果在高融资约束及低行业竞争程度的企业中更加明显。本研究为中国在错综复杂的大环境中,促进数字经济时代下的高质量发展,提供了重要的政策启示。

关键词: 经济政策不确定性, 企业创新, 数字化转型, 非线性影响, 创新质量

Abstract:    The current complex and ever-evolving landscape has brought to the imperative question of how to facilitate the profound fusion of the digital economy and the tangible business world while concurrently bolstering the innovative capabilities of enterprises. This paper explored the underlying mechanisms through which economic policy uncertainty affects firm innovation, as well as the pivotal role played by digital transformation. Using the data from China′s A-share listed companies, this paper revealed a U-shaped relationship between economic policy uncertainty and firm innovation, the elevation of economic policy uncertainty fosters a surge in strategic innovation, while concurrently precipitating a decline in substantive innovation. After incorporating digitization into the analysis framework, it was found that enterprise digital transformation intensifies the negative impact of economic policy uncertainty on innovation. The U-shaped relationship weakens, and the inflection point shifts to the right, approaching an L-shape. Furthermore, the negative effects of digital transformation are more pronounced in companies with high financing constraints and low industry competition. This study will provide important policy implications for China to promote high-quality development in the ever-changing digital economy era. 

Key words: economic policy uncertainty, corporate innovation, digital transformation, nonlinear effect, innovation quality