在构建“双循环”新发展格局的背景下,本文以“一带一路”倡议作为高水平外循环的准自然实验,研究了倡议对我国企业技术创新的影响及作用机制。研究发现:第一,“一带一路”倡议在重塑全球价值链的治理模式、合理化国际分工方面与高水平外循环相辅相成,并能够从总体数量与研发质量两个维度来促进企业技术创新,化解一段时间以来本土企业“量与质不可兼得”的创新困境;第二,高水平外循环帮助企业对抗来自高技术中间品供给端与国际市场需求端的双重挤压,通过外部市场迁移、创新要素集成、生存风险规避三大机制来促进企业技术创新。本文建议,政府应引领国内企业在“一带一路”沿线国家尤其是在畅通型国家中寻找新的市场机遇,通过更高水平的外循环来赋能本土企业,同时,要构筑研发资金与研发人员的“蓄水池”,疏通要素流动渠道的堵点,驱动创新要素内向集成,以支撑企业高质量发展。
Abstract
In the establishment of a "dual circulation" development pattern, we regard the Belt and Road Initiative as a quasi-natural experiment of high-level international circulation. Further, we have constructed a policy identification framework to examine the impact of external circulation on enterprise technological innovation, which includes the difference in difference model, the difference in difference in difference model, and the mediating effect model.
Based on the existing literature and the international situation, we define a high-level international circulation as a new round of opening-up process, with a global governance mechanism of extensive consultation, joint contribution and shared benefits. Compared with the traditional international circulation, it has advantages in terms of trade structure, production methods, and industrial chain cooperation models. Considering that the Belt and Road Initiative drives the international circulation to a higher level, this paper analyzes the changes brought about by the Belt and Road Initiative in external market demand, factor market supply, and enterprises′ own risk areas. According to the conclusion, we further explored the triple effect mechanism of high-level external circulation on enterprise technological innovation.
This paper uses data from China′s A-share listed companies from 2008 to 2017, empirically analyzing the impact of the initiative on the technological innovation of Chinese enterprises. We find that the high-level international circulation has a significant positive effect on the technical change. Taking into account the innovation motivation, the initiative can promote both the company′s substantial technical change and strategic technical improvement. In addition, the results show a heterogeneous influence under company′s different basic levels of innovation, which is particularly good for low basic level enterprises. As results, the high-level international circulation has brought a substantial technological change and balanced economic development.
Further research find that external market expansion, innovation factor integration, and survival risk avoidance are the three major mechanisms affecting enterprise technological innovation. Specifically, the external market expansion mechanism means that enterprises can obtain new external demand and stimulate technological innovation by expanding their trade to markets along the Belt and Road Initiative. And the innovation factor integration mechanism means that international circulation promotes technological innovation of enterprises by promoting the accumulation of R&D funds and R&D personnel in the domestic market. The survival risk avoidance mechanism refers to the indirect effect brought by risk aversion. Because it avoids the survival risks that may exist in foreign investment, the high-level international circulation provides a good development environment for the enterprise and ensures the sustainability of enterprise innovation. Finally, high-level international circulation drives continuous technological innovation on both market demand side and factor supply side. In addition, R&D talents play an important role in both innovation factor integration mechanism and survival risk avoidance mechanism, and shoulder the double responsibilities of "promoting innovation and reducing risks".
We have obtained some managerial insights and policy recommendations. First of all, Chinese enterprises, especially those with a low level of innovation foundation, should deeply participate in cooperation along the Belt and Road Initiative, and improve technological innovation by integrating into a higher level of international circulation, to achieve technological independence and solve the supply chain crisis. Secondly, the government should encourage and lead domestic enterprises to find new opportunities in countries along the Belt and Road Initiative, and help microeconomic entities re-plan their supply chain to deal with international market risks. Thirdly, the government can support enterprises to participate in a new round of international circulation and to build a "reservoir" of innovative factors by direct subsidies or indirect credit support. Finally, through the Belt and Road Initiative talent exchange project, the Chinese government should improve the talent introduction and training mechanism and let them play the role of promoting innovation and reducing risks.
关键词
新发展格局 /
外循环 /
技术创新 /
“一带一路”倡议
Key words
new development paradigm /
international circulation /
technological innovation /
the Belt and Road Initiative
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基金
国家自然科学基金面上项目:“供应链网络中企业并购对运营和库存管理绩效的影响研究”(71771188,2018.01—2021.12);国家自然科学基金面上项目:“长期关系中渠道冲突应对组织惰性机理及效果研究”(71672150,2017.01—2020.12);中央高校基本科研业务费年度培育项目:“‘一带一路’视角下高水平外循环对本土企业技术创新的驱动机制研究”(JBK2202025,2022.01—2022.11)。