科研管理

科研管理 ›› 2020, Vol. 41 ›› Issue (8): 39-48.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

路径依赖与锁定研究的发展脉络分析——基于科学知识图谱视角

张珍1,喻金田2,何伟3,梅艳兰2   

  1. 1.湖北工业大学就业创业学院， 湖北 武汉430068；
    2.武汉理工大学管理学院，湖北 武汉430070；
    3.碧桂园集团武汉区域，湖北 武汉430000
  • 收稿日期:2017-09-18 修回日期:2018-06-15 出版日期:2020-08-20 发布日期:2020-08-19
  • 通讯作者: 喻金田
  • 基金资助:
     湖北省技术创新专项（软科学研究类）（2017ADC019）；中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目（2018VI074）。

An analysis of the development process of path dependence and path lock-in based on mapping knowledge domains

Zhang Zhen1， Yu Jintian2， He Wei3， Mei Yanlan2   

  1.  1. Faculty of Career and Entrepreneurship, Hubei University of Technology, Wuhan 430068, Hubei, China; 
    2. School of Management, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan 430070, Hubei, China; 
    3. Wuhan Area Branch, Country Garden Group, Wuhan 430000, Hubei, China
  • Received:2017-09-18 Revised:2018-06-15 Online:2020-08-20 Published:2020-08-19
  • Supported by:
     

摘要： 当前有关路径依赖与锁定的研究中存在文献信息繁多、领域学科交叉复杂、发展脉络不清晰等问题。基于科学计量的可视化技术绘制科学知识图谱，探析国外人文社科领域有关路径依赖与锁定研究的发展脉络。研究发现，国外对路径依赖与锁定研究的发展脉络可归结为：①发展历程的四个阶段：政策制度—案例分析—锁定或改革—路径创造；②研究的三个热点领域：路径锁定、公司变迁、政治制度；③研究发展的三个趋势：研究层面由宏观趋向微观，研究思路从解释现象的基础研究过渡到解决问题的开发研究，研究方法由案例分析过渡到锁定模型构建。该研究系统的展示了国外路径依赖与锁定研究的全景图谱，利于研究者把握该领域的研究轨迹和选择未来研究方向。

 

关键词: 路径依赖, 路径锁定, 知识图谱, 发展脉络, CiteSpace

Abstract:

 Path dependence and lock-in are widely applied to explain the institutional change, economic evolution, geographical expansion, organizational reform, and technological innovation, so the research on it has important theoretical value. However, Studies on path dependence and lock-in have indicated several limitations, such as chaotic literature information, interdisciplinarity complexity, and development process vagueness, so that scholars cannot intuitively understand its evolution and research direction in a short time. Meanwhile, the existing research also points out the following characters in this field: (a) there is a lack of connection between the theory and empirical research of path dependence and lock-in, and (b) the future research trend is to focus on empirical research, and path lock-out. However, the number and scope of the literature sorted out by these research institutes are limited, and the conclusions of qualitative induction are relatively broad and lack of quantitative basis, which cannot fully reveal the development history, research hotspot and frontier in this field. It is found that the above problems are all related to the development process of path dependence and lock-in. Therefore, how to grasp the development process of path dependence and lock-in research quickly and comprehensively is the focus of this paper.  
This paper focuses on exploring the development process of path dependence and lock-in in the research area of humanities and social sciences based on mapping knowledge domains and information visualization. Firstly, the process model of path dependence and lock-in development process by CiteSpace is built, which is an analysis process of one-to-one correspondence between method and content including research route, CiteSpace technology, and visualization mapping knowledge domains. Meanwhile, 328 literatures from web of science core collection database are pre-treated respectively. Secondly, the development process of path dependence and lock-in is analyzed emphatically: (a) the development history mapping knowledge domains including time-line mapping of evolution stage and cluster mapping of research topics variation are drawn and analyzed, and (b) the keyword co-occurrence mapping of research hotspot in recent five years is drawn and analyzed.
The study contributes to path dependence and lock-in theory and visualization by the existing literatures of database and CiteSpace technology. According to the research, the development process of path dependence and lock-in can be categorized as follows: (a) the development history have gone through four stages: political policy, case study, lock-in or reform, and path creation, and (b) path lock-in, firms and political policy are three research hotspots in this area, and (c) there are three main developing trends, among which the research level is from macro-level to micro-level, the research ideas can be transited from the basic research of phenomenon interpretation to the development research of problem-solving, and lock-in mathematical modeling is replacing case study as the main research method. 
So far, a panoramic knowledge mapping of path dependence and lock-in is displayed, and the development process of path dependence and lock-in research since 1985 has been cleared up from three aspects of development history, research hotspot and frontier, which confirms the viewpoints of lack of micro enterprise discussion and empirical research methods in the existing research, which provides a strong basis for later researchers to better grasp the research trajectories of this field, it also provides ideas for choosing their future research directions. Moreover, on the practical level of path dependence and lock-in, in the process of catching up and transformation, China′s latecomers are facing passive lock-in such as technology lock-in and low-end lock-in, but they also have the late-mover advantages with Chinese characteristics, and they are striving to catch up and surpass in the practice of breakthrough and lock-out through radical technology innovation and disruptive market innovation.

Key words: path dependence, path lock-in, mapping knowledge domain, development process, CiteSpace 

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