科研管理

科研管理 ›› 2018, Vol. 39 ›› Issue (5): 77-85.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

技术经济安全评估的“三力”模型构建研究

刘志鹏1,2，代涛1，李怡洁1，窦超1,2   

  1. 1中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院，北京100190；
    2中国科学院大学，北京100049
  • 出版日期:2018-05-20 发布日期:2018-05-21
  • 通讯作者: 代涛
  • 基金资助:

    中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院部署项目：技术经济安全评估（Y600781603）（2016.9—2017.3）。

A study of the “three capabilities” model of techno-economic security evaluation

Liu Zhipeng 1,2, Dai Tao1, Li Yijie1, Dou Chao1,2   

  1. 1. Institutes of Science and Development，CAS, Beijing 100190，China；
    2. University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
  • Online:2018-05-20 Published:2018-05-21

摘要： 党的十八大以来，国家安全被提到一个新的高度，随着新一轮科技革命和产业变革的推进以及全球化进入新阶段，技术因素对国家经济安全的影响越发突显，技术经济安全成为亟待研究的课题。文章借鉴了社会生态学领域的“韧性”思想，构建了以“控制力-发展力-保障力”为框架的技术经济安全评估模型，探讨了“三力”的内涵与相互作用机制。在此基础上提出了技术经济安全评估指标体系并采用EWGRP模型，对我国2006~2015年的技术经济安全状况进行测算。结果发现，我国整体技术经济安全状况与发展力呈现上升趋势，但控制力与保障力需要加强。

关键词: 技术经济安全, 控制力, 发展力, 保障力, EWGRP模型

Abstract: Since the convening of the 18th CPC National Congress, national security has been placed at a new high level. With advances of S&T revolution and the new stage of globalization development, the influence of technology on national economic security has become even more prominent, and the techno-economic security becomes an urgent issue. This article first introduces the “three capabilities” model, which includes “controlling capability, development capability and supporting capability”, and based on this model, it builds up the techno-economic security evaluation framework. Borrowing the concept of resilience in social-ecology research area, this framework explores the content and interaction mechanisms among the three capabilities. Then this paper puts forward the techno-economic security evaluation indicators and by using the EWGRP model, it measures our national techno-economic security based on the empirical data from 2006 to 2015. It finds that there is an increasing improvement of our nation’s overall techno-economic security and development capability, but there is a necessity to strengthen the controlling and supporting capabilities.

Key words: techno-economic security, controlling capability, development capability, supporting capability, EWGRP model