港口供需匹配非均衡评价模型及实证

匡海波 余方平 谭志加 孟强 赵广田

科研管理 ›› 2018, Vol. 39 ›› Issue (4) : 113-123.

科研管理 ›› 2018, Vol. 39 ›› Issue (4) : 113-123.
论文

港口供需匹配非均衡评价模型及实证

  • 匡海波1,余方平1,谭志加1,2,孟强1,3,赵广田4
作者信息 +

The non-equilibrium evaluation model and empirical research of port supply-demand matching

  • Kuang Haibo1, Yu Fangping1, Tan Zhijia1,2, Meng Qiang1,3, Zhao Guangtian4
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文章历史 +

摘要

港口供需匹配是港口科学发展最为关键问题。本研究在借鉴文献[12]的基础上,进一步改进和优化港口供需匹配模型。本研究首先构建了较为合理的港口供需匹配评价指标体系,其次,借助非均衡分析理论框架,建立了港口供需匹配非均衡评价模型,最后,采集上海港2006-2013年数据进行分析,结果表明:上海港2006-2013年期间潜在供给小于潜在需求、处于严重或轻度供给不足状态,不过供给需求缺口逐年收窄。

Abstract

Port matching supply and demand is the port key problem. This study further improved the literature [12] the port matching supply and demand model. Firstly, a scientific port matching supply and demand evaluation index system was constructed. Secondly, a improved port supply matching evaluation model was established with the help of the non-equilibrium theory of frame analysis. Finally, we did an empirical research on Shanghai port 2006-2013 years data. The results show that: the port of Shanghai 20062013 years of potential supply is less than the potential demand, in the a serious shortage of supply or mild condition, but the supply and demand gap has been gradually narrowing.

关键词

港口;供需匹配;非均衡框架;评价指标体系 / 缺口

Key words

port / supply-demand matching / non-equilibrium framework / evaluation index system / gap

引用本文

导出引用
匡海波 余方平 谭志加 孟强 赵广田. 港口供需匹配非均衡评价模型及实证[J]. 科研管理. 2018, 39(4): 113-123
Kuang Haibo, Yu Fangping, Tan Zhijia, Meng Qiang, Zhao Guangtian. The non-equilibrium evaluation model and empirical research of port supply-demand matching[J]. Science Research Management. 2018, 39(4): 113-123

基金

国家自然科学基金:自贸区港口生态圈演化、平衡及评价机制研究(71672016);长江学者和创新团队发展计划资助:港口协同发展与绿色增长(IRT_17R13)。


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