摘要：本文针对绿色增长策略实施绩效的评价问题，引入系统动力学构建绿色增长策略动力学模型。以绿色增长策略力度为主要控制变量，以绿色福祉指数为绿色增长策略实施绩效的评价变量，搭建绿色增长策略评价及模拟平台，探讨政府绿色增长策略力度与实施绩效间的动态作用机制。研究发现：我国实际绿色增长策略力度为0.17，最佳绿色增长策略力度为0.55，绿色增长策略实施力度缺口达到69%，表明绿色增长策略在国家战略制定中的重要性较弱。同时，本文对消费指数、环境服务指数及绿色福祉指数的实际演化曲线与动态最优演化曲线进行比较研究。在最佳绿色增长策略背景下，环境服务指数的增长是绿色福祉指数增长的主要拉动力；消费指数与绿色福祉指数的演化曲线始终保持一致，表征了绿色增长策略应始终以提升人民生活质量，优化人们生活生产环境为主旨。同时，三个指数的演化曲线最终呈现出逐渐收敛的态势，表明最佳绿色增长策略最终目标是生态环境状况、人民生活水平及绿色福祉水平实现协同优化、和谐发展。

Abstract: This paper is a research subjects that how to evaluate and analyze the implementation performance of the green growth strategy and employs the system dynamic model to construct a system dynamics model of green growth strategy. This model takes the implementation effort of green growth strategy as control variable, takes the green welfare index as evaluation variables, and then forms an evaluation and simulation platform of green growth strategy armed to analyze the dynamic mechanism between the implementation effort and the implementation performance of the green growth strategy. The research result shows: the actual implementation effort is 0.17 approximately, which reflects the green growth strategy isn`t important strategy in our public strategies; the optimal implementation effort is 0.55; the gap of the implementation effort is 69%. And then, this paper analyzed the difference of the three indexes` evolution curves (the consume index, environmental services index, green welfare index) between in the actual green growth strategy and in the optimal green growth strategy. The result shows: in the optimal green growth strategy, the increase of environment service index is the main pulling power of the green welfare index; the curve of the consumer index is consistence with the curve of the green welfare index; which reflects the optimal green growth strategy should be continuous to improve the quality of the people's lives, and optimize the people's production and living environment. The curves of the three indexes show the gradual convergence trend，which characterizes that the ultimate goal of the optimal green growth strategy is the collaborative optimization and the harmonious development among ecological environment, people's living standard and the green welfare standard.