科研管理 ›› 2016, Vol. 37 ›› Issue (1): 58-67.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

环境、能源、R&D与经济增长互动关系的研究

吴继贵,叶阿忠   

  1. 福州大学经济与管理学院
  • 收稿日期:2014-05-15 修回日期:2015-09-05 出版日期:2016-01-20 发布日期:2016-01-21
  • 通讯作者: 吴继贵
  • 基金资助:

    国家自然科学基金项目:半参数空间向量自回归模型的理论应用及其研究,编号:71171057,起止日期:2011-2015;国家自然科学基金项目:半参数全局向量自回归模型的理论及应用,编号:71571046,起止日期:2016-2019;国家社会科学基金项目:技术溢出视角的能源回弹效应及我国节能对策研究,编号:12CJY011,起止日期:2012-2015

Research on the Interactive Relationships among the Environment, Energy, R&D and Economic Growth

  • Received:2014-05-15 Revised:2015-09-05 Online:2016-01-20 Published:2016-01-21

摘要: 选取了1998~2012年中国31个省市的面板数据,采用面板协整方程、PVECM模型和PVAR模型,探讨了中国环境、能源、R&D与经济增长之间的互动关系。结果表明:环境污染、能源消耗、R&D和经济增长之间存在长期的均衡关系,且短期波动偏离长期均衡的正向调整幅度为0.69%;R&D主要得益于经济发展,虽然R&D水平的提高能够在一定程度上抑制环境污染,但是其却在一定程度上刺激能源消耗;虽然,能源消耗既是经济增长的动力,也是造成环境污染的重要原因,但是其能够在一定程度上促进R&D水平的提升;环境污染具有累积效应和路径依赖的特性,且其对经济增长的贡献和对R&D的“倒逼”作用相对有限。

Abstract: With the panel data of 31 provinces in China from 1998 to 2012 and through using cointegration equation, PVECM and PVAR model, this paper explored the interactive relationships among environment, energy, R&D and economic growth. The research results indicate: there is of long-term balanced relationships among the environment pollution, energy consumption, R&D and economic growth, and the range of positive adjustment is 0.69% when short-term fluctuations deviates from the long-term equilibrium; At present stage, the improvement of R&D is mainly because of economic growth. Though the improvement of R&D can help curb environmental pollution, it can also lead to the increasing consumption of energy to some extent; energy consumption is an important factor for the economic growth, and it is also a major cause for environment pollution. However, to some extent, the consumption of energy can make positive contribution to the improvement of R&D; Environment pollution presents accumulative effects and path depedence effects, and it has limited effects to economic growth. What’s more, the restructuring effects of it to R&D improvement is weak as well.