根据联合国贸易数据库统计数据,分析了中国高技术产品的贸易现状,采用GL指数、边际产业内贸易指数,从不同角度测度和分析了中国高技术产品的产业内贸易水平,运用面板数据对国家层面的影响因素进行了研究。结果发现,中国高技术产品产业内贸易大而不强,产业内贸易结构不均衡,急需大力发展航空航天等产业。中国与贸易伙伴的人均收入差距、技术差距和外商直接投资都是影响产业内贸易发展的因素,其中人均收入差距和产业内贸易具有显著的负相关性,其余因素根据贸易伙伴的不同而有所差异,并根据研究结果提出了相关建议。
Abstract
According to UN trade statistics, this paper analyzes the trade situation of high-tech products. Then it uses China's high-tech GL index, and marginal intra-industry trade index to measure the level of high-tech intra-industry trade. Finally, by use of panel data, it makes an empirical study of the national determinants of the high-tech intra-industry trade. The ?ndings indicate that China's high-tech intra-industry has a high level but it is not strong and the structure is imbalanced, so it is quite urgent to develop the high value-added industry, like Aerospace. The GDP per capita gap, technical differences and foreign direct investment are the determinants of intra-industry. The GDP per capita gap variance is significantly negative correlated with the intra-industry trade; the effect of other factors is different based on the trading partners. Upon those conclusions, the paper provides some policy recommendations.
关键词
高技术产品 /
产业内贸易 /
影响因素 /
面板数据
Key words
high-tech products /
intra-industry trade /
determinants /
panel data
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基金
国家社科基金重大项目《经济全球化背景下中国产业安全研究》资助(No.:10zd&029),起止时间:2009年10月到2012年10月。