新兴技术产业化对推动社会经济发展具有重要作用,本文在两个维度上将新兴技术产业分为四类,并在系统的视角下对以混合动力汽车为代表的第IV类新兴技术产业化进行了研究。通过建立和分析混合动力汽车产业化的系统动力学模型,提出了中国混合动力汽车产业化发展的策略体系。本文的研究表明,通过系统建模对新兴技术产业化进行研究,是进行该领域研究的一种可行思路和方式。
Abstract
The industrialization of emerging technologies plays an important role in the promotion of social and economic development. Emerging technology industries are classified into two dimensions, four categories; and the Hybrid Electric Vehicle (HEV) industry which represents category IV emerging technologies is studied from a system dynamics perspective. Through modeling and analysis on the HEV industry, a development strategy system for China's HEV industry is proposed. The case study shows that system modeling is a viable approach for emerging technology research.
关键词
系统动力学 /
新兴技术 /
产业化 /
混合动力汽车
Key words
system dynamics /
emerging technology /
industrialization /
HEV
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参考文献
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基金
国家自然科学基金重点项目"奥运科技产业化及基于奥运市场规则的国际化发展研究"(70639002),2006.6-2010.7; 国家社会科学基金重大项目"新兴技术未来分析理论方法及产业创新研究"(11&ZD140),2011.10-2015.12。
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