摘要：本文基于环境不确定性影响创新网络演化的视角，从技术和市场两大环境不确定因素入手，描述了萎缩、稳定、加强、动态平衡、紧缩和动荡六种创新网络类型，并在此基础上建立了创新网络演化模型。最后以新兴技术为例，对其创新网络演化过程进行介绍，由此归纳出“完全突破型”、“市场突破型”和“技术突破型”三条新兴技术发展路径。  

    Abstract: Based on the point that the uncertain environment may have an influence on the evolution of innovation network, starting with the describing uncertain factors of technical environment and market environment, six types of innovation networks, namely shrinking, stability,strengthening, dynamic balance, deflation, and churning have explaned. Then a model has been developed to show the evolution of innovation network. In the end, by taking the emerging technologies as an example, the evolutional process of innovation network, and further along three developing paths of the emerging technologies are presented. They are totally-breakthrough type, market-breakthrough type, and technology-breakthrough type.