科研管理

科研管理 ›› 2009, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (1): 121-128 .

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

FDI技术溢出对江苏制造业的影响 ——基于静态和动态面板数据的实证研究

田泽永1,2，江可申1，江宏3   

  1. 1南京航空航天大学经济与管理学院，江苏 南京210016；
    2江苏技术师范学院经济管理学院，江苏 常州213001；
    3中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所，北京100080
  • 收稿日期:2008-10-29 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:2009-02-04 发布日期:2009-02-04

FDI technology spillover to the manufacture industry in Jiangsu province —The empirical research based on the static and dynamic panel data

Tian Zeyong1,2， Jiang Keshen 1， Jiang Hong 3   

  1. 1. College of Economics and Management, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and
    Astronautics，Nanjing 210016, China;
    2. Department of Economics and Management, Jiangsu Normal University of
    Technology，Changzhou 213001, China;
    3. Institute of Policy and Management, Chinese Academy of Sciencs，Beijing 100080,China
  • Received:2008-10-29 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2009-02-04 Published:2009-02-04

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摘要： 摘要：本文利用1999-2006年江苏省分行业面板数据，考察了FDI技术溢出对江苏制造业产出增长的影响。研究结果表明：在静态和动态面板数据模型中，水平溢出效应由负转正，由不显著到显著，说明FDI具有“挤出效应”的说法并不成立。FDI前向关联溢出效应并不显著，后向关联溢出为正且显著，后向关联溢出是比水平溢出更重要的溢出途径。资本和劳动都是促进江苏产出增长的重要因素，资本对产出增长的作用更多的体现在当年引致的投资需求上。

关键词: 外商直接投资, 溢出效应, 静态面板, 动态面板

Abstract: Abstract： The panel data of 1999-2006 years are used to analyze the FDI technology spillover to the manufacture industry in Jiangsu province. The results indicate that in the static model and dynamic model, the horizontal spillover effect changes from negative to positive, and from insignificant to significant; it shows that the crowding-out effect is not been found. FDI forward spillover is insignificant and backward spillover is positive and significant. The backward spillover is more important way comparing with the horizontal spillover. The capital and the labor force are all the important factors to promote the output. The capital’s effects on output are embodied in the increasing demand incurred by the investment.

Key words: FDI, spillovers effects, static panel, dynamic panel

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