科研管理 ›› 2007, Vol. 28 ›› Issue (6): 76-84.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

我国受限技术的监测与评估理论方法研究

胡望斌   

  1. 南开大学商学院,天津,300071
  • 收稿日期:2006-12-11 出版日期:2007-11-24 发布日期:2011-05-16
  • 作者简介:胡望斌(1976-3),男(汉),湖北人,南开大学商学院(讲师)。研究方向:技术经济与创新管理,战略管理
  • 基金资助:

    天津市社科规划重点项目"技术受限的国际贸易摩檫环境下我国技术创新理论模型与方法研究"(编号:TJYY06-007; 2007.1-2007.12);教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目"跨国公司全球经营战略研究"(编号:05JJD630026; 2006.1-2008.12)

The research on the monitoring and evaluation theory of the technology restriction aiming atChina by developed countries

Hu Wangbin   

  1. School of Business, Nankai University, Tianjin 300071,China
  • Received:2006-12-11 Online:2007-11-24 Published:2011-05-16

摘要: 技术强国对华技术出口限制严重影响了我国经济、技术的自由和快速发展,然而我国对这些受限技术深入系统的研究很少。本文首先应用技术监测方法,进行了技术强国针对我国实施的技术出口限制内容动态监测研究。然后综合运用模糊评价法以及人工神经网络等理论方法,对我国受限技术与我国重点发展领域的对比、与技术强国之间的技术差距、我国发展的重要性等进行分析和研究,建立我国受限技术评估的理论方法。从而可以准确认识我国受限技术的本质特征,为我国受限技术的发展和决策提供科学的指导和帮助。

关键词: 技术限制, 技术监测, 评估理论, 模糊综合评价, 人工神经网络

Abstract: The export control aiming at China by developed countries has affected the rapid and free development of Chinese economy and technology seriously. However, the systemic research on the export control aiming at China is scarce. First, the theory and method of technology monitoring are applied in order to keep the dynamic monitoring on the content of the technology export restrictions aiming at China by developed countries. Then, with fuzzy evaluation, artificial neural network and other methods, the analysis and evaluation theory of the technology restriction are established. The theory specifically includes the contrast between the technology restriction fields and the crucial development fields in China, the research method difference between China and technological powerful countries, the importance of the development in Chinese technology restriction field. The research helps with the identifying the essential characteristic of the technology restriction, which is beneficial to the scientific decision-making and guidance on development of the technology restriction in China.

Key words: technology restriction, technological monitoring, evaluation theory, FCE, ANN

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