科研管理

科研管理 ›› 2007, Vol. 28 ›› Issue (2): 93-98.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

研究型大学研发与首都区域专利产出的动态计量经济分析

吴玉鸣1,3, 何建坤1,2   

  1. 1. 清华大学公共管理学院,北京100084;
    2. 清华大学经济管理学院,北京100084;
    3. 广西师范大学经济管理学院,桂林541004
  • 收稿日期:2006-01-16 出版日期:2007-03-24 发布日期:2011-05-16
  • 作者简介:吴玉鸣(1968-),男(汉),甘肃人,清华大学公共管理学院博士后,广西师范大学经济管理学院教授,研究方向:区域经济模拟与管理决策支持系统。
    何建坤(1945-),男(汉),河北人,教授,博士生导师,清华大学常务副校长,经济管理学院院长,研究方向:科技政策与管理创新。
  • 基金资助:

    全国教育科学“十五”规划重点课题(DFB030294);北京市科委科学研究计划项目(Z0004094040112)

A dynamic study on relation between university R&D and patent output of the capital region

Wu Yuming1,3, He Jiankun1,2   

  1. 1. School of Public Policy & Management, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China;
    2. School of Economics & Management, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China;
    3. School of Economics & Management, Guangxi Normal University, Guilin 541004, China
  • Received:2006-01-16 Online:2007-03-24 Published:2011-05-16

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摘要： 运用动态计量经济学的分布滞后、单位根检验、协整分析和G ranger因果检验模型,对研究型大学研发投入与首都区域专利产出进行了动态计量经济实证分析,结果显示:首都地区研发投入在影响专利产出过程中存在2期的滞后效应;研究型大学研发经费投入每增加1%,首都区域研发产出当年将增长0.3%,大学研发投入在3年内共使得专利产出增长了0.6%;大学研发投入与专利产出之间存在长期稳定的动态均衡关系,但是其对专利产出没有表现出预期的促进作用;专利产出是大学研发投入G ranger意义上的原因,但研发投入没能有效地促进首都区域专利产出,二者之间还没有形成一种协调联动的发展机制。

关键词: 研究型大学, 研发经费投入, 首都区域专利产出, 动态计量经济模型

Abstract: The dynamic econometric relationship between the research university R&D expenditure and patent application of capital region is analyzed,employing methods of PDL,ADF unit root test,cointegration analysis and Granger causal analysis of dynamic econometrics.The results show:(1) the lag time of the R&D influence on the capital regional patent output is two years;(2) on average,when the R&D expenditure of research universities increases 1%,the patent output of the capital region will increase 0.3%,and the patent output of the capital region increases 0.6% percent altogether in three years;(3) although the trend relationship between the research university R&D expenditure and patent output has a long-run and stationary equilibrium tendency,the research university R&D expenditure does not have a prospective and stimulative function on the patent output of the capital region;(4) the patent output is the Granger causality of the R&D expenditure of research university,but the R&D expenditure does not promote the patent output of the capital regional growth effectively,and a alternating feedback mechanism has not been set up.

Key words: research-oriented university, R&, D expenditure, the capital regional patent output, dynamic econometrics

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