科研管理

科研管理 ›› 2006, Vol. 27 ›› Issue (2): 40-44,94.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

我国省(市)自治区专利产出与其GDP之间关系的实证研究

方曙1,2, 张勐2, 高利丹2   

  1. 1. 西南交通大学经济管理学院,成都610031;
    2. 中国科学院成都文献情报中心,成都610041
  • 收稿日期:2005-01-21 出版日期:2006-03-24 发布日期:2011-05-16
  • 作者简介:方曙(1957-),男(汉),中国科学院成都文献情报中心副主任,研究员。
    张勐(1979-),男(汉),中国科学院成都文献情报中心助理研究员。
    高利丹(1979-),女(汉),中国科学院成都文献情报中心助理研究员。
  • 基金资助:

    本文得到中国科学院战略情报研究项目经费支持。

The empirical study on the relationship between patents and GDP of provinces in China

Fang Shu1,2, Zhang Meng2, Gao Li-dan2   

  1. 1. School of Economics & Management, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu 610031, China;
    2. Chengdu Library of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, Chengdu 610041, China
  • Received:2005-01-21 Online:2006-03-24 Published:2011-05-16

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摘要： 本文利用中国专利数据和各省(市)区GDP数据,研究了代表技术创新产出指标的专利数量与代表各省(市)区经济产出总量指标的GDP之间的定量关系,通过对近5年(1999至2003年)31个省(市)区的数据进行分析和计算发现,我国各省(市)区的专利产出数与其GDP之间具有很强的相关性(拟合相关系数为0.9434),表现为很好的定量的幂函数关系,是一种幂律分形(Fractal)。文章对这种幂律分形的特性和意义作了初步讨论,利用这一定量关系可以对一个地区的专利数量或者GDP作出预测。

关键词: 中国专利, GDP, 分形, 技术创新

Abstract: With patent quantity and GDP data, the author researched the quantitative relation between patent quantity, which is an output index of technological innovation, and Gross Domestic Product, which stands for the economic output of one country or region. Based on the analysis and calculation of 5 years data (from 1999 to 2003) of 31 provinces/cites of China, the author found out there is a strong correlation (the fitting correlation coefficient is 0.9434) between patent output and GDP of provinces/cites. This is a fractal, quantitative power function relation. In this article, the author discussed about the properties and meaning of this fractal, as well as the method of applying this quantitative relation for analyzing the technological innovation level and efficiency of region, and predicted its patent quantity and vice versa.

Key words: China patent, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), fractal, technological innovation

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