科研管理

科研管理 ›› 2006, Vol. 27 ›› Issue (3): 128-134.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

中国经济发展与能源消费响应关系研究——基于相对"脱钩"与"复钩"理论的实证研究

赵一平1, 孙启宏2, 段宁2   

  1. 1. 大连理工大学,辽宁 116023;
    2. 中国环境科学研究院,北京 100012
  • 收稿日期:2005-03-29 出版日期:2006-05-24 发布日期:2011-05-16
  • 作者简介:赵一平(1979-),女,大连理工大学博士研究生,研究方向:循环经济战略及环境管理体制。
    孙启宏(1962-),男,研究员,研究方向:循环经济及清洁生产战略研究。
    段宁(1949-),男,中国环境科学研究院副院长,研究员,博士,大连理工大学兼职教授,博士生导师,研究方向:中国循环经济发展及清洁生产实践。

Responsive relationship between economic development and energy consumption in China——a practical research based on comparative de-link and re-link theory

Zhao Yiping1, Sun Qihong2, Duan Ning2   

  1. 1. Dalian University of Technology,Dalian 116023, China;
    2. Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences, Beijing 100012,China
  • Received:2005-03-29 Online:2006-05-24 Published:2011-05-16

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摘要： 本文根据"脱钩"与"复钩"的基本思想,提出我国经济发展与能源消费相对"脱钩"与"复钩"的概念模型,并对我国经济发展与能源消费的响应关系进行实证研究,对我国能源弱"脱钩"现象背后存在的深层次问题及主要矛盾进行识别与分析。在此基础上对未来20年我国能源消费领域面临的问题、潜在的危机及发展战略进行预测分析。

关键词: 经济与能源, 弱"脱钩", 扩张性"复钩", 实证研究

Abstract: According to the basic theory of comparative de-link and re-link, this paper proposes a conceptual model of comparative de-link and re-link relationship and a empirical study is done on the responsive relations between Chinese economy development and energy consumption. The weak de-link relationship and an expensive re-link tendency between economy and energy are identified and some major problems and key factors are discussed accordingly. Potential crisis faced by China in the near future is forecasted and some conclusions are made in the end.

Key words: economy and energy, weak re-link, expensive de-link, practical research

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