技术创新与产业结构优化—一个基于自主体的模拟

科研管理 ›› 2015, Vol. 36 ›› Issue (8): 44-51.

技术创新与产业结构优化—一个基于自主体的模拟

龚轶¹, 王铮^2,3, 顾高翔³

1. 北京决策咨询中心, 北京 100089;
2. 中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所, 北京 100190;
3. 华东师范大学, 上海 200062

收稿日期:2014-02-21 修回日期:2015-02-05 出版日期:2015-08-25 发布日期:2015-08-19
通讯作者: 王铮
作者简介:龚轶(1977-),女(汉),四川岳池人,北京决策咨询中心助理研究员,研究方向为技术创新与产业经济学。
王铮(1954-),男(汉),云南陆良人,中科院科技政策与管理科学研究所研究员,研究方向为气候变化与计算经济学。
顾高翔(1985-),男(汉),浙江宁波人,华东师范大学助理研究员,研究方向为计算经济学。
基金资助:
科技部创新研究方法课题。

Technology innovation and industry structure optimization: A study of agent-based simulation

Gong Yi¹, Wang Zheng^2,3, Gu Gaoxiang³

1. Beijing Decision-Making Consultant Center, Beijing 100089, China;
2. Institute of Policy and Management, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China;
3. East China Normal University, Shanghai 200062, China

Received:2014-02-21 Revised:2015-02-05 Online:2015-08-25 Published:2015-08-19

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 本文以产业结构进化理论、创新理论为理论基础,应用基于自主体的建模方法构建了一个具有微观基础及内生创新机制的产业进化模型,并在模型基础上对企业技术创新对产业结构优化的影响进行了分析。研究发现,1.过程创新更加有利于产业结构合理化。产品创新和过程创新规模的上升都使产业结构向更合理的方向演进。2.在产业结构高级化方面,过程创新更利于产业结构中非农产业增加值的增加,而产品创新对工业中重工业比例上升的推动作用非常明显。随着产品创新和过程创新规模的增加,产业结构中非农产业增加值比重都在上升,同时产品创新规模的上升促进了霍夫曼系数的明显下降。

关键词: 技术创新, 产业结构优化, 微观基础, 投入产出

Abstract: The paper uses the agent-based modeling method to build up a micro-founded industry evolution model with endogenous innovation mechanism and studies the enterprise technology innovation behaviors' impacts on the optimization of the industrial structure based on the theory of evolution of industrial structure and the innovation theory. The study finds out that: (1) Process innovation boosts the industry structure rationality. With bigger size, both product innovation and process innovation facilitate the rationality of industry structure; and (2) As to the upgrading of industry structure, process innovation is more beneficial to the increasing of non-agriculture share of GDP(NAGR), whereas product innovation promote the decreasing of Hoffmann Coefficient. With the scale rising, both process innovation and product innovation lead to the increasing of NAGR. At the same time the rising of product innovation scale promote the declining of Hoffmann Coefficient.

Key words: technology innovation, industry structure optimization, micro-founded, input-output

中图分类号:

F223
F204

龚轶, 王铮, 顾高翔. 技术创新与产业结构优化—一个基于自主体的模拟[J]. 科研管理, 2015, 36(8): 44-51.

Gong Yi, Wang Zheng, Gu Gaoxiang. Technology innovation and industry structure optimization: A study of agent-based simulation[J]. Science Research Management, 2015, 36(8): 44-51.

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