科研管理

科研管理 ›› 2025, Vol. 46 ›› Issue (3): 160-169.DOI: 10.19571/j.cnki.1000-2995.2025.03.016

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

贸易摩擦对城市绿色创新效率的影响研究：基于盈利质量分析的视角

丁佐琴1,2,千东必2,汪小龙1   

  1. 1.无锡太湖学院会计学院，江苏 无锡214064；
    2.国立釜庆大学技术经营学院，韩国 釜山48547

  • 收稿日期:2023-08-25 修回日期:2024-12-11 出版日期:2025-03-20 发布日期:2025-03-10
  • 通讯作者: 汪小龙
  • 基金资助:
    国家哲学社会科学基金：“金融周期对中国经济周期波动影响的动态影响机制研究”（19BJL020）；江苏高校青蓝工程“优秀骨干教师”资助项目（JSGX004）。

Research on the impact of trade friction on the green innovation efficiency of cities: A study from the perspective of profit-quality analysis

Ding Zuoqin1,2, Chun Dongphil2, Wang Xiaolong1   

  1. 1. School of Accounting, Wuxi Taihu University, Wuxi 214064, Jiangsu, China; 
    2. College of Technology Management, Pukyong National University, Busan 48547, Republic of Korea
  • Received:2023-08-25 Revised:2024-12-11 Online:2025-03-20 Published:2025-03-10

摘要：    在当前高度不确定的贸易摩擦环境下，城市要通过增强产业韧性来提升城市绿色创新效率。不仅关乎自身生存发展，也是维护国家经济安全和区域协同发展的中观基础。本文依据2004—2021年中国城市统计年鉴2085个县级城市面板数据，采用固定效应、中介效应和机制检验模型，实证检验贸易摩擦与城市绿色创新的关系。研究发现：（1）贸易摩擦对城市绿色创新效率具有促进作用；（2）机制分析发现城市产业韧性在贸易摩擦与城市绿色创新效率之间发挥部分中介作用，其中筹资能力作用最大，其次是经营能力和投资能力；（3）异质性分析表明东部城市、较大规模城市、数字化城市和较低储蓄水平城市，贸易摩擦对城市绿色创新效率正向促进作用更明显。结论拓展了城市绿色创新效率的前因研究，深化了对贸易摩擦性质和应对策略的认知，并为城市绿色转型提供了有益启示和经验证据。

关键词: 贸易摩擦, 城市绿色创新效率, 城市产业韧性, 波特假说, 盈利质量分析

Abstract:     Green innovation efficiency reduces resource consumption and environmental costs while achieving technological innovation. This approach integrates technological advancements with environmentally friendly practices, which is a crucial strategy for advancing urban economic development. Although trade frictions are known to positively influence environmental regulation within this context, the underlying mechanisms of their impact require further investigation. Based on the Porter Hypothesis and the Profit Quality Analysis Theory, this study employed a panel data set comprising 2085 county-level cities from the China City Statistical Yearbook, spanning from 2004 to 2021. A comprehensive research framework was established, and utilized the mediating effect analysis, difference-in-differences method, and group testing to explore the mechanisms and pathways through which trade frictions influence urban green innovation efficiency. The findings of the study were as follows: (1) Trade frictions positively enhance urban green innovation efficiency; (2) Industrial resilience acts as a partial mediator in the relationship between trade frictions and urban green innovation efficiency, with financing capacity being the most significant, followed by operational and investment capacities; and (3) The influence of trade frictions on urban green innovation efficiency is particularly noticeable in eastern cities, larger cities, digital cities, and cities with lower savings levels in China. Additionally, industrial resilience exhibits a "first-mover advantage" and a "spatial spillover" effect on urban green innovation efficiency. The research findings have not only broadened the scope of studies on the determinants of urban green innovation efficiency but also deepened the understanding of the nature of trade friction and coping strategies and they will provide practical inspiration to enhance the resilience of urban industries and promote the efficiency of urban green innovation.

Key words: trade friction, green innovation efficiency of cities, industrial resilience of cities, Porter Hypothesis, profit-quality analysis