科研管理

科研管理 ›› 2009, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (6): 107-112 .

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

中国工业化进程中各产业能源需求的实证研究

徐刚1,2 ，王维国1，潘祺志1   



  1. （1东北财经大学数学与数量经济学院，辽宁 大连116025
    2中国科学院大连化学物理研究所，辽宁 大连116023）
  • 收稿日期:2008-11-01 修回日期:2009-07-01 出版日期:2009-01-01 发布日期:2009-01-01

Empirical research on the six industries’ energy demand in the process of Chinese industrialization

Xu Gang1,2, Wang Weiguo1, Pan Qizhi1   


  1. (1.College of Quantitative Economics, Dongbei University of Finance&Economics, Dalian 116025, China;
    2.Dalian Institute of Chemical Physics,Chinese Academy of Sciences, Dalian 116023, China)
  • Received:2008-11-01 Revised:2009-07-01 Online:2009-01-01 Published:2009-01-01

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摘要： 摘要：本文以我国六大产业1989—2005年的时序数据，以各产业作为面板模型的横截面单元组成面板数据，建立了我国六大产业需求的面板协整模型,发现我国各产业能源需求与产业增长、能源使用效率和价格间存在长期均衡关系，在此基础上讨论了我国各产业能源需求的长期战略，并提出相关政策建议，该建议很好地阐释了我国国务院提出的“当前进一步扩大内需、促进经济增长的十项措施”。

关键词: 能源需求, 能源效率, 能源价格, 产业增长, 面板协整

Abstract: Abstract： The panel cointegration model on energy demand model is applied and the panel data for energy consumption and economic growth, energy efficiency, as well as the price for six industries from 1989 to 2005 are defined. It is found that there is a panel cointegration relationship among the four panel variables which characterizes the energy consumption of the six industries in the long run.The conclusions and their implications can be taken as a suggestion for long-run energy strategy in China; in particular, the summing-up also explains the policy on 10 measures from the State Council of China; the purposes of these measures are expanding domestic demand and promoting economic growth.

Key words: energy demand, energy efficiency, energy price, industrial growth, panel cointegration

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