科研管理 ›› 2020, Vol. 41 ›› Issue (10): 193-201.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

初始条件与新创科技企业生存

杨淳1,肖广岭2,杜劭君3   

  1. 1湖南大学公共管理学院,湖南 长沙410082;
    2清华大学科学技术与社会研究所,北京100084;
    3清控科创控股股份有限公司,北京100084
  • 收稿日期:2017-10-16 修回日期:2018-10-18 出版日期:2020-10-20 发布日期:2020-10-19
  • 通讯作者: 杨淳
  • 基金资助:
     中央高校基本科研业务费项目;国家社科基金项目(16BGL155)。

Founding conditions of high-tech startups and their survival

 Yang Chun1, Xiao Guangling2, Du Shaojun3   

  1.  1. School of Public Administration, Hunan University, Changsha 410082, Hunan, China; 
    2. Institute for Science, Technology and Society, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China;
    3. Tsinghua Technology and Innovation Holdings Co., Ltd, Beijing 100084, China
  • Received:2017-10-16 Revised:2018-10-18 Online:2020-10-20 Published:2020-10-19
  • Supported by:
     

摘要: 新创科技企业的生存与成长是创业研究的重要内容。尽管学界认识到科技企业初创条件对其生存的重要作用,但对这一作用的过程知之甚少。为此,本研究从企业资源观和组织生态学的视角出发,以中关村新创办的科技企业为例,运用Complementary log-log模型,研究了企业创立时的资源与条件——即研发投入、内部金融资本、企业规模和产业集中度——对其生存风险的影响及其时效性。研究结果表明,初创时较高的内部金融资本和产业集中度将增加企业的生存风险,而较高的研发投入和企业规模将提升科技企业的生存概率。同时,这些初创资源与条件对企业生存的影响显示出不同的时效性。这些经验证据将有助于揭示中国科技型企业的生存过程。

 

关键词: 初始资源与条件, 企业生存, 组织印迹, 中关村科技园

Abstract:

The survival and growth of newly established high-tech startups are crucial and hot topics in innovation and entrepreneurship research academia; it is also an unignorable practical issue of high-tech industrial development in current China. Recently, scholars have concentrated on how founding conditions shape high-tech startups′ survival, and an increasing number of literatures argues that founding conditions would exert significant influence on high-tech startups′ exit rates. However, limitations in given studies hinder our further understandings. First, relatively scare knowledge concerns about how the survival stimulating effects of founding conditions change over time. Second, Chinese empirical evidence is nearly absent in this research line. To fill these gaps, building on resource-based view of the firm (RBV) and organizational ecology perspectives, this paper particularly focuses on when and how high-tech startups′ founding resources and market conditions i.e.R&D, internal financial resource, firm size, and industrial concentration at the founding year, affect their survival risk as time passes. To this end, this paper first proposed that the current resources and market conditions would prolong high-tech startups′ survival duration. Then, it further proposed that these founding resources and market conditions have positive influence on startups′ survival, but such effects decline over time differently.
This paper uses a dataset of high-tech startups from Z-Park in Beijing to test the proposed theoretical hypotheses. These startups are established in 2006 and their fundamental operation information have been loyally recorded till 2011. In this dataset, it can identify which year a startup exits but the exact time point that a startup exits is unavailable. That is, the records of firms′ exit event are typical "firm-year" observations. To estimate such data, complementary log-log model (cloglog) is more robust and efficient than that of Cox model which is often used in firm survival studies. After cloglog modeling, this paper conducts robustness checks by using alternative models i.e.logit model and complementary log-log model with random effects considerations. Empirical findings support most of theoretical predictions. Firstly, it shows significant and robust influence of current internal resources and market conditions on high-tech startups′ survival. To be specific, industrial concentration has positive effects on high-tech startups′ survival risk, whereas R&D and firm size are negatively related to high-tech startups′ survival risk. However, internal financial resource shows insignificant survival motivating effects. Moreover, founding resources and market conditions have varied survival motivating influence. Specifically, R&D and firm size at the founding year help to prolong startups′ survival duration, whereas higher internal financial resource and industrial concentration at the founding year are likely to exacerbate high-tech startups′ survival risk. Although these founding resources and conditions matter for high-tech startups′ survival, their affecting durations are varied. That is, the survival motivating effect of founding industrial concentration lasts for a shorter time duration than that of firm size. Particularly, the founding effects of internal financial resources and R&D last for a much longer time than that of industrial concentration and firm size. 
Empirical findings in this paper have practical and theoretical implications. In practice, it contributes to unpacking the black box of thesurvival process of China′s high-tech startups, which may help entrepreneurs to better develop strategic planning. This study also contributes to innovation and entrepreneurship literature in serval ways. First, it provides a possible analytic lens by combining RBV and organization ecology perspective to explore when and to what extent founding conditions determine high-tech startups′ survival. Second, this study examines how the founding effects of internal resources and market conditions change over time, which provides fresh evidence to deepen the understanding of the influence of organizational imprinting on high-tech startups′ survival chance.

Key words: founding resources and conditions, firm survival, organizational imprinting, Zhongguancun Science Park

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