科研管理 ›› 2018, Vol. 39 ›› Issue (11): 1-6.

• 论文 •    下一篇

FDI、R&D对中国汽车制造业技术创新能力的影响——加入滞后效应的考量

余淑秀1,2,卢山冰1,3   

  1. 1.西北大学经济管理学院,陕西 西安710127;
    2.湖北汽车工业学院经济管理学院,湖北 十堰442002;
    3.西北大学现代学院商学院,陕西 西安710130
  • 收稿日期:2016-12-13 修回日期:2017-09-20 出版日期:2018-11-20 发布日期:2018-11-26
  • 通讯作者: 余淑秀
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金项目:“面向环境可持续性的数字化制造装备能耗建模及运行优化”(批准号: 51575211,起止时间: 2015-2017);湖北省教育厅人文社科项目:“基于行业特征比较的产能过剩分级评价指标体系构建及应用——以汽车行业为实证检验”(批准号: 14Y038,起止时间:2014-2017)。

Impact of FDI and R&D on technological innovation capability of Chinese automobile industry:Considerations made with lagged-effect included

Yu Shuxiu1,2, Lu Shanbing1,3   

  1. 1. School of Economics and Management, Northwest University, Xi’an 710127, Shaanxi, China;
    2. College of Economics and Management, Hubei University of Automotive Technology, Shiyan 442002, Hubei, China;
    3. Business School,Modern College of Northwest University,Xi’an 710130, Shaanxi, China
  • Received:2016-12-13 Revised:2017-09-20 Online:2018-11-20 Published:2018-11-26

摘要:       基于中国汽车制造业2001~2012年的数据,根据分布滞后(ADL)模型和库伊克模型的思想,以AIC、SC信息准则为标准选择最优滞后阶数,研究加入滞后效应考量的情况下,FDI、R&D对中国汽车制造业技术创新能力的影响。研究表明:FDI对中国汽车制造业技术创新能力的影响随着时间累积整体表现出增强趋势,即存在滞后效应,且主要体现为对创新竞争力的正向影响较显著,对核心技术水平和技术创新产出能力的影响始终不明显;R&D对中国汽车制造业技术创新能力的提升具有显著的正向影响,影响强于FDI且存在滞后效应。中国汽车制造业应积极引导外资流向产业研发机构,提高外资用于创新投入的比例;加大R&D投入,着重依靠自主创新,从根本上提升技术创新能力。

关键词: FDI;R&, D;汽车制造业;技术创新能力;滞后效应

Abstract: Based on the data of China’s automobile manufacturing industry from 2001 to 2012, according to the idea of the distributed lag (ADL) and the Koyck model, the AIC, SC information criterion is used as the judgment standards for selecting optimal lag order number, to study the impact of FDI and R&D on the technological innovation capability of Chinese automobile industry in the case that the lagged-effect is included in considerations. The results showed that the whole impact of FDI on the technology innovation capability of Chinese automobile industry had an increasing trend over time, that is, the lagged-effect existed and a relatively significant positive impact on innovation competitiveness was mainly reflected, while the impact on the core technology and technological innovation output capacity was always not obvious. R&D had a significant positive impact on the upgrading of technological innovation capability of Chinese automobile industry, which was stronger than FDI and also had a lagged-effect. Chinese automobile industry should actively guides foreign investment to the industrial R&D institutions, to increase the proportion of foreign investment for innovation; and increase R&D investment, focusing on relying on independent innovation to fundamentally enhance the technological innovation capability.

Key words: FDI, R&D, automobile industry, technological innovation capability, lagged-effect