科研管理

科研管理 ›› 2018, Vol. 39 ›› Issue (9): 151-158.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

专利激增的驱动因素及机理分析

谭龙1,3,刘云2,陈凤云1,闫哲3   

  1. 1.中国工程物理研究院科技信息中心，四川 绵阳621900；
    2.中国科学院大学公共政策与管理学院，北京100049；
    3.北京理工大学管理与经济学院，北京100081
  • 收稿日期:2015-08-09 修回日期:2017-08-24 出版日期:2018-09-20 发布日期:2018-11-06
  • 通讯作者: 谭龙
  • 基金资助:

    国家自然科学基金面上项目：“国家创新体系国际化政策协同机制、过程模型及效应评估研究”（71573017）。

A study of the driving factors and their mechanism of patent surge

Tan Long1,3, Liu Yun2, Chen Fengyun1, Yan Zhe3   

  1. 1. Science and Technology Information Center, China Academy of Engineering Physics, Mianyang 621900, Sichuan, China;
    2. School of Public Policy and Management, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China;
    3. School of Management and Economics, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing 100081, China
  • Received:2015-08-09 Revised:2017-08-24 Online:2018-09-20 Published:2018-11-06

摘要： 本文从技术创新与专利的关系视角，借鉴相关理论模型，考虑到包容性、系统性和内在机理性等特点，构建了专利激增驱动因素分析模型——ECP模型；基于该模型，采用系统动力学的方法，对驱动因素作用于专利增长的机理进行了分析。最后对ECP模型的政策启示进行了分析。

关键词: 专利激增, 驱动因素, ECP模型, 作用机理

Abstract: A 3-dimensional model, namely the Elements-Competence-Propensity Model, abbreviated as ECP model, is proposed which features in inclusiveness and systematicness in explaining patent surge issues. Any driving factor will exert an influence on patent growth via, at least, one of the 3 dimensions. Based on the ECP model, the driving paths and mechanisms of various factors on patent growth are revealed by means of the System Mechanics Method. An important implication of this paper is that, a good or health policy should start from improvement of elements input or/and innovation competence, rather than enhancement of patent propensity unilaterally.

Key words:  patent surge, driving factors, ECP model, influencing mechanism