科研管理

科研管理 ›› 2017, Vol. 38 ›› Issue (7): 26-36.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

中国汽车产业技术创新政策效果分析

朱明皓1 窦水海1,贾冀2   

  1. 1北京交通大学经济管理学院，北京100044；
    2 中铁建工集团华北分公司，北京100160
  • 收稿日期:2015-09-22 修回日期:2016-07-07 出版日期:2017-07-20 发布日期:2017-07-11
  • 通讯作者: 朱明皓
  • 基金资助:

    国家自然科学基金项目“基于形式语言和元胞自动机的交通拥堵疏导研究”（61402427,2015-2017）；北京交通大学基本科研业务费“城市交通拥堵的动力学机理研究”（2015RC073，2015-2017）。

An analysis of the effects of technological innovation policies on China’s auto industry

Zhu Minghao1, Dou Shuihai1, Jia Ji2   

  1. 1. School of Economics and Management, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing 100044, China; 
    2. North China Branch, China Railway Construction Engineering Group, Beijing 100160, China
  • Received:2015-09-22 Revised:2016-07-07 Online:2017-07-20 Published:2017-07-11

摘要： 汽车产业是我国社会经济发展的支柱产业，政府出台多项政策支持产业技术创新。文章以技术创新政策作为研究对象，在国内外学者的研究基础上，运用因子分析、熵权法和灰色综合评价法，从整体效果、经济效益、技术投入、技术产出方面对中国汽车产业技术创新政策效果进行实证研究。通过研究发现，国家政策基本上支持了汽车产业创新发展，总体取得良好效果，经济效益具有跌宕起伏状态，技术投入呈波浪状上升态势，技术产出持续增长。但是，在某些年份政策效果并不理想，产业发展依赖财政资金，必须及时调整支持政策，建立适合新时期发展的产业技术创新体系。 

关键词: 汽车产业, 技术创新政策, 灰色综合评价, 因子分析, 熵权法

Abstract: As the pillar industry, the auto industry has promoted social and economic development with its innovated technology supported by government policies. The paper focuses on the technological innovation policy, utilizes the factor analysis method, entropy weight method and gray comprehensive evaluation method to study empirically the policy's effects on China's auto industry, not only based on the researches of scholars at home and abroad, but from different aspects, such as overall effects, economic benefits, technology input and output. The research finds that the auto industry has been basically innovated and developed under the support of national policies, proving to be effective as a whole. Though the economic benefits are subject to rising with fluctuations and the uplift of the technology input tends to be wave-shaped, the output continues to increase. However, several policy effects are still poor and the industrial progress relies mainly on financial funds. So the adjustment must be timely carried out for the support policy to establish an innovation system of the industrial technology which is applicable for the new period’s progress.

Key words: auto industry, technological innovation policies, grey comprehensive evaluation, factor analysis, entropy method